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European Football Tips: Struggling Lyon need points to stay in Champions League hunt

European Football Tips: Struggling Lyon need points to stay in Champions League hunt

Published on 01 Mar 2018 at 16:11

Lyon celebrate — Celebrations have recently been few and far between for Les Gones (The Kids)

This weeks Best Bet: Back Lyon to win above a fair value 2.06 (currently available at 2.5)

Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers...

Austria Bundesliga
Mattersburg v Admira
Saturday, March 3, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.84/5 Draw 3.55/2 Away 43/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.447/5 Draw 3.6553/20 Away 3.211/5

Recommended Bet: Back Admira above fair value

Denmark Superliga
Lyngby v Hobro
Saturday, March 3, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.546/4 Draw 3.259/4 Away 2.546/4
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.855/6 Draw 3.7511/4 Away 5.24/1

Recommended Bet: Back Lyngby above fair value

France Ligue-1
Amiens v Rennes
Saturday, March 3, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.185/40 Draw 2.942/1 Away 2.47/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.6413/8 Draw 3.1511/5 Away 3.3512/5

Recommended Bet: Back Amiens above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Spal v Bologna
Saturday, March 3, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.35/4 Draw 3.052/1 Away 3.1511/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.4549/20 Draw 3.55/2 Away 2.3811/8

Recommended Bet: Back Bologna above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Lazio v Juventus
Saturday, March 3, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.3512/5 Draw 3.211/5 Away 2.1411/10
Fair Value Odds - Home 54/1 Draw 4.216/5 Away 1.774/5

Recommended Bet: Back Juventus above fair value

France Ligue-1
Montpellier v Lyon
Sunday, March 4, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.8415/8 Draw 3.211/5 Away 2.47/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 43/1 Draw 3.814/5 Away 2.0621/20

Recommended Bet: Back Lyon above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Benevento v Verona
Sunday, March 4, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.111/10 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 3.259/4
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.55/2 Draw 3.55/2 Away 2.3211/8

Recommended Bet: Back Verona above fair value

Netherlands Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam v Den Haag
Sunday, March 4, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.35/4 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 2.8415/8
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.052/1 Draw 3.55/2 Away 2.6213/8

Recommended Bet: Back Den Haag above fair value

Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex

Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 346 pts
Returned: 370.1 pts
Profit: 24.1 pts or 107% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 157 pts
Returned: 151.4 pts
Profit: (6.6) pts or 96% ROI

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.