Midweek Football Tips: Best bets for Champions League second legs

  • Max Liu
  • 4:00 min read
Official Champions League football
Our tipsters are backing plenty of Champions League goals on Tuesday and Wednesday

Get tips from Mark O'Haire and the rest of our football experts for the Champions League quarter-finals second legs on Tuesday and Wednesday with Chelsea, Liverpool and Man City all in action...

"Goals tend to increase in second leg Champions League knockout ties and I'm expecting both teams to get on the scoresheet at Anfield."

Porto to put up a fight against Chelsea

Chelsea v Porto
Tuesday, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 2 & BT Sport Extra

Chelsea are as short as 1.071/14 to qualify from the tie after winning the first leg 2-0. But Porto have two key attackers returning on Tuesday night and they will not make it easy for the Blues.

Key Stat: Chelsea are unbeaten in the UEFA Champions League this season (P9 W7 D2 L0), and could become the first English to go unbeaten across their first 10 games in a season in the competition since Liverpool in 2017-18 (11 games).

Jamie Pacheco says: "So Chelsea are odds-on to win a game they really don't need to win. Will they be desperately looking for a winner if it's 1-1 with 15 minutes to go? Probably not. More to the point, there wasn't that much in it in the first leg - in spite of the final score - and Porto have their most dangerous players back. Add the Blues' lack of motivation to win the game to the equation and you can see why that odds-on quote isn't of much interest.

"A draw at 4.03/1 is a perfectly good betting option but if you're looking for a trade, a lay-to-back of Chelsea should be do-able. These games don't always go off at breakneck pace and a sedate first-half that's level at the break should allow you to back Chelsea at odds of at least 2.47/5 and 'green up'."

Jamie Pacheco's Bet: Back both teams to score @ 2.01/1

PSG and Bayern to serve up another thriller

PSG v Bayern Munich
Tuesday, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 3 & BT Sport Extra

PSG are 1.412/5 to qualify with holders Bayern 3.3512/5 after the first leg in Munich ended 2-3. It's never wise to write off Bayern, though, and our writers are convinced that the second leg will be another thriller.

Key Stat: Bayern Munich will be looking to progress from a UEFA Champions League knockout tie after losing the first leg for the first time since 2014-15 (v FC Porto in the quarter-finals) - the German side have been eliminated in each of the last four instances when losing the first leg, with all four coming in consecutive seasons between 2014-15 and 2017-18.

James Eastham says: "The absence of Lewandowski didn't stop the game having five goals last Wednesday night. There were so many scoring chances at either end of the pitch that the game produced a high goals count despite the main man in attack for Bayern being ruled out.

muller_bayern_2021.jpg

The do-or-die nature of this tie means this game is also likely to be an open affair. Bayern - who need to score at least twice to stand any chance of going through - will want test PSG's mettle by putting the hosts' back four under pressure from the outset."

Alex Keble says: "The 3-2 in the first leg is highly likely to be repeated, given that both teams displayed defensive vulnerabilities that have characterised their entire campaigns. In short, both are porous between the lines, sitting in a decompressed shape that allows the attackers to burst straight through them, hence the toing and froing in Munich; once again, PSG and Bayern will cause serious damage in every transition."

James Eastham's Bet: PSG vs Bayern Munich Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.1011/10

Goals expected at Anfield as Reds aim to overturn deficit

Liverpool v Real Madrid
Wednesday April 14, 20:00
BT Sport

Liverpool have overturned first leg deficits before - famously against Barcelona two years ago - but Zinedine Zidane's Real Madrid were dominant in the first leg and are 1.330/100 to qualify from the tie with the Reds available to back at 4.216/5.

Key Stat: In 13 previous knockout ties in European competition where they've lost the first leg by 2+ goals, Liverpool have progressed twice. The most recent example was overturning a 0-3 first leg deficit against Barcelona en route to winning the 2018-19 UEFA Champions League.

Mark O'Haire says: "All the ingredients are in place for another goal-filled game. Liverpool will need to chase their way back into proceedings, giving Real Madrid ample opportunity on the counter-attack to make their mark, and both teams are undoubtedly coming into the clash with key personnel fit and available in attack, whilst missing defensive leaders.

"Goals tend to increase in second leg Champions League knockout ties and I'm expecting both teams to get on the scoresheet at Anfield. With the Both Teams To Score quote a little too skinny to support at 1.664/6, it may pay to add Over 2.5 Goals 1.608/13 into the mix and combine the two wagers on the Same Game Multi for a more appealing 1.855/6 shot."

Andy Brassell says: "This version of Real Madrid grind out results and Zidane is a canny tactician which, due to his lack of interest in shouting his footballing philosophies from the rooftops, he rarely gets the credit for. Saturday's El Clásico win was a case in point, built on less possession but targeted attacks at their opponents' weak points - in this instance the defensive difficulties of Jordi Alba, from whose side Karim Benzema's opener was created."

Mark O'Haire's Bet: Back Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score at 1.855/6

Can Pep's men hold off Haaland?

Borussia Dortmund (1) v (2) Manchester City
Wednesday, 20:00
Live on BT Sport

Manchester City are the Champions League favourites even though they take just a single goal advantage into their second leg against a team that boasts arguably the most lethal striker in Europe right now. The Blues have blown it at stage in the past so will lightening strike again on Wednesday?

Pep Guardiola, Manchester City.jpg

Key Stat: In UEFA Champions League history, the side winning the first leg of a knockout stage tie 2-1 at home has been eliminated (15) more often than they've progressed (12).

Kevin Hatchard says: "City will create plenty of chances here against a team that can't call upon the incredible Dortmund crowd, and I'll back them to win the second leg and for there to be at least three goals at 2.111/10 on the Sportsbook.

"Alternatively, it seems conceivable that City will win the game, but BVB talisman Erling Haaland will have at least one shot on target. You can back that outcome at 2.466/4 on the Bet Builder."

Back Manchester City to win and Erling Haaland to have at least one shot on target at 2.466/4

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