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Saturday Football Tips: Best bets for the big matches in England and Europe

Max Liu
15 April 2021
5:00 min read

Players celebrate winning the FA Cup at Wembley

Chelsea face Man City in the FA Cup semi-final at 17:30

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It's another busy Saturday of football with Chelsea v Man City taking centre stage at Wembley, so plan your punting with our guide to all the best bets across the day...

Hammers to press on with top four bid?

Newcastle v West Ham
12:30
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

Two teams with much to play for get the Premier League Saturday action underway at St James' Park. Newcastle are just one place above the relegation zone, although they have a six point cushion and a game in hand and that's why they're as long as 5.39/2 for the drop. The fourth-placed Hammers, meanwhile, are 3.211/5 to finish in the Champions League places.

Key Stat: West Ham have won just two of their last 16 Premier League games at Newcastle, losing eight and drawing six.

Dave Tindall says: "A pair of 3-2 wins - away to Wolves and home to Leicester - have kept the Hammers' points tally ticking over. But there's still a nagging feeling that David Moyes looking haunted on the sidelines will become familiar viewing.

"Even though they've won their last two games, they were 3-0 up in both. Either West Ham are running out of gas physically or the enormity of what they're doing is having an adverse affect mentally. Before those late dramas, they'd attained and then blown another 3-0 lead, this time in a 3-3 thriller against Arsenal."

Dave's Bet: 1pt West Ham/Draw in Half Time/Full Time market at 16.015/1

Bundesliga Betting: Wolves can take a chunk out of champs

Wolfsburg v Bayern Munich
14:30
Live on BT Sport 1

If RB Leipzig beat Hoffenhiem on Friday night then Julian Nagelsmann's team will be within two points of leaders Bayern Munich. And yet the time of writing Bayern are 1.041/25 to win the Bundesliga with Leipzig 19.018/1. But if Bayern fail to beat Wolfsburg on Saturday afternoon you'd expect those odds to shift in RB's favour.

Key Stat: Wolfsburg have won four of their last five Bundesliga home games and haven't conceded a single goal in any of them.

Kevin Hatchard says: "Bayern have been dethroned as European champions, but they were agonisingly close to mounting an outstanding comeback against PSG. They won the second leg in the French capital by a goal to nil, but couldn't force a second goal, despite creating some presentable opportunities.

"Now the pursuit of a ninth straight meisterschale takes precedence, but securing the Bundesliga title may not be entirely straightforward. Wolfsburg are no pushovers. They pushed a full-strength Bayern hard in a 2-1 loss in Munich, they are unbeaten at home, and they now face a Bayern side that is missing key players."

Kevin's Bet: Lay Bayern Munich v Wolfsburg at 1.9720/21

Can Tuchel's men win the battle of the Blues at Wembley?

Chelsea v Man City
17:30
Live on BBC1

Man City 1.784/5 are the firm favourites to win their semi-final against Chelsea and march into a second final in three years. Thomas Tuchel's men have other plans, however, and the German would love to make this the first trophy of his reign. As you'll see, at least one of our experts thinks that likely, while another disagrees is backing the Citizens.

Key Stat: Manchester City have won six of their last nine meetings with Chelsea in all competitions (D1 L2), beating the Blues 3-1 at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League already this season.

Stephen Tudor says: "The Chelsea that lost comprehensively to City in the Premier League, three weeks before Lampard was sacked, is long gone now, replaced by a team that is barely recognizable aside from the players themselves. It is significantly better structured, designed to get the best out of each component and consequently the results have been - by and large - very impressive."

"This is a Chelsea that has no reason to fear City at Wembley on Saturday. This is a Chelsea that has every chance of going all the way at 5.59/2."

Pep Guardiola close up 2 1280.jpg

Alan Dudman says: "The 1.8810/11 on Guardiola's men looks reasonable considering they have won eight of their last nine meetings with Chelsea which includes the 1-3 success earlier in the season at Stamford Bridge. They've never lost to Chelsea in three meetings at the new Wembley Stadium and have won nine of their last 11 FA Cup semi-finals.

"The stats are well and truly in City's favour. Chelsea will drag in plenty of backers simply because of their price at 5.69/2, but there's no point being clever here."

Alan's bet: Back Manchester City to win @ 1.8810/11

Cagliari host Parma in Serie A six-pointer

Cagliari v Parma
Sat, 19:45
Live on Premier Sports 2

Cagliari are 1/5 for relegation from Serie A and their opponents on Saturday evening Parma are 1/40. Those odds show that both teams, which sit 18th and 19th respectively, are in big trouble. All three outcomes are odds-against on Saturday, although our previewer knows where he's putting his money.

Key Stat: Parma have played seven away games this year and failed to win once.

Dave Farrar says: "I don't think that it'll be a great game, the circumstances surely won't allow that, and while I don't want to get suckered into thinking that Cagliari's big names mean that they are destined to survive, they're good enough to win this. They've been woefully short of goals this calendar year, but I believe that will change.

"I was hoping to see Cagliari a little bigger than 2.245/4 for the win here, but there's still enough juice in that price to make it a sensible bet. One of these teams needs to click on Saturday night, and I think, against a poor Parma, it will be Cagliari."

Dave's bet: Back Cagliari to beat Parma @ 2.245/4

Copa del Rey Final: Barca look to lift first trophy under Koeman

Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona
Saturday, 20:30
Live on Premier Sports 1

There's cup football in Spain too on Saturday evening as Barcelona try to win their first trophy under Ronald Koeman. There's a lot at stake here for the manager as his sit third in La Liga - they're 2.747/4 to win the title - but this might be his best chance of silverware. Standing in Barca's way are Athletic Bilbao who have already beaten the Catalans in Spain's Super Cup earlier this season.

Key Stat: Prior to last weekend's defeat to Real Madrid this Barcelona team had won 14 of their last 18 games.

"At the start of April, Bilbao lost last season's postponed Copa del Rey final 1-0, against their arch rivals Real Sociedad. Now they face the potential heartbreak of losing a second cup final, just two weeks later, in a match in which they are big underdogs. Bilbao beat Barca 3-2 in the Super Cup final back in January, but are currently without a win from their last six games (D2 L4).

"With a recent change of president at Barcelona, there has been speculation regarding Koeman's future. In a season where he can still win a domestic double, Koeman's fate appears to be in his own hands and he should land his first piece of silverware against Bilbao. A Barcelona win and both teams to score is 2.915/8."

Dan's bet: Back Barcelona to beat Athletic Bilbao and both teams to score at 2.915/8

Listen to the new episode of Football...Only Bettor to get the team's best bets this weekend.

Betfair Betting Podcast · Football...Only Bettor | Episode 70 | Keeping up with the Card-Ashians

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