Kevin Hatchard's European Tips: Simeone to frustrate Mourinho, Kane to break record and Malen to test Inter

Bayern Munich v Union Berlin - Kane to deliver in his milestone match

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Friday 18 September, 19:30
Live on BBC iPlayer

Harry Kane has often claimed that he has found the best version of himself since his move to Bayern, and the staggering numbers make it hard to disagree. The England captain has already racked up 150 competitive goals in just 153 games, and having repeatedly ripped up the record books in Bavaria, he stands on the cusp of another milestone.

Kane has scored 99 Bundesliga goals in just 98 appearances, and if he finds the net against Union Berlin on Friday night he'll reach a century of Bundesliga goals in 31 fewer games than the current record-holder Dieter Müller. Kane has a lower minutes-per-goal average in the Bundesliga than Erling Haaland, Robert Lewandowski and Gerd Müller.

Union Berlin aren't really in the shape to resist Kane for a full 90 minutes. New coach Mauro Lustrinelli is trying to introduce a new attacking style, but the capital club have already leaked ten goals and have claimed just one point. That makes this Union's worst ever start to a Bundesliga season, and our friends at Opta tell us that they have never beaten Bayern in 15 attempts in all competitions.

I'm happy to back Kane to score twice or more here at 5/42.25 on the Sportsbook. With the international break looming, there is no reason for the former Spurs star not to start, and I think he'll crash through the century barrier in style.

Roma v Inter Tip - Magic Malen to shine again

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Saturday 19 September, 17:00
Live on TNT Sports

This is a fascinating battle between title contenders who both have perfect records. Gian Piero Gasperini's Roma are only ahead of the champions on goal difference, and both teams are scoring freely in the opening weeks of the campaign.

The Roma charge is being led by former Dortmund and Aston Villa forward Donyell Malen, who has 21 goals in 25 competitive games since he moved to the Italian capital in January. He has scored six Serie A goals already this term, and the Dutchman has had at least two shots on target in three of his four league appearances.

I'll double up Malen to hit the target twice or more with Over 2.5 Goals at 5/23.50 on the Sportsbook's Bet Builder. Four of Inter's five competitive games have featured three goals or more, and both teams scored in all four.

Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid Tip - Mourinho's men to drop points

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Sunday 20 September, 15:15
Live on Premier Sports

While Barcelona have been making cutting through La Liga opposition look straightforward, Jose Mourinho's Real Madrid have made rather heavier weather of it. Los Blancos have required young striker Carlos Espi to score late winners at Espanyol and Elche, and even in seemingly comfortable wins like the 4-1 success against Rayo Vallecano, there have been big swathes of games where Madrid have lost control of midfield.

There's no doubt that Real Madrid have the attacking firepower to demolish anyone on their day. Last season Kylian Mbappe was top scorer in La Liga, the Champions League and the World Cup, and while I'm not swayed by his personal PR push to win the Ballon d'Or, he certainly has the numbers to back up his vocal claims. Jude Bellingham has been scoring goals and making goals, and in the midweek win at Elche, Yan Diomande delivered his best performance so far in a Real Madrid shirt.

The case of Vinicius Junior is an interesting one. The Brazilian missed several presentable chances at Elche and hasn't been as clinical as he can be, scoring just once from a La Liga xG of 2.95. However, his defensive work-rate has improved, and he has set up three top-flight goals already.

Atletico made a shaky start to the campaign, but a 3-0 win at Real Sociedad and a 4-0 hammering of Osasuna have steadied the ship. Wantaway striker Julian Alvarez is yet to score for Los Colchoneros this season, but he came alive in this fixture last season (a 5-2 Atletico win) and this could be the game where he wins some of his detractors back over.

Atletico have lost just three La Liga games at home since the start of last season, and I can't accept Real Madrid's price of evens to win the contest. Atletico have lost just one of their last seven La Liga home games against their city rivals.

I'm laying Real Madrid at evens on the Betfair Exchange.

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