Euro 2024

Thursday Football Cheat Sheet: Bets for Italy v England and more

  • Max Liu
  • 3:00 min read
England goalkeeper Jordan Pickford
England goalkeeper Jordan Pickford will try to stop Italy on Thursday evening

Get our experts' best bets for Italy v England on Thursday and more international football tips as the Euro 2024 qualifiers begin...


Italy v England: Go low on goals but big with 17/1 Bet Builder

Italy 3.052/1 v England 2.77/4, the Draw 3.259/4
19:45
Live on C4

Paul Higham says: "There'll be a firecracker of an atmosphere at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples on Thursday but despite that and Italy's fine home record in this and against England there's hardly anything between them in the market.

"Italy are 17/10 with England 13/8 and going on recent meetings, and the fact this is the first game of the campaign, then the draw will be popular at 11/5.

"If we're torn on the winners we're pretty sure that there won't be too many goals - it's just 13/20 that we have under 2.5 goals and you can see why as there was only one of them scored in two Nations League matches between them."

Italy v England: Saka to assist in Three Lions win

Stephen Tudor says: "Bukayo Saka is enjoying a season of seasons, accruing 22 goal involvements in 28 Premier League outings.

"His 1.6 successful dribbles per 90 is perhaps to be expected given his direct style of wing-play but 2.2 key passes per game highlights his immeasurable importance to Arsenal's unexpected title charge.

"In between these pair, Harry Kane is, as ever, England's main man and furthermore he is a man reborn with that tired old trope about him playing too deep thankfully consigned to the past.

Kane.jpg

"This season 21 goals have been mined in the league from 2.72 shots per 90 while for his country he remains a potent force, with six direct goal involvements in his last six. Still, for what it's worth, Kane has yet to score against Italy in four attempts."

England v Italy: Grifo's form cannot be ignored

Max Liu says: "Italy's Vincenzo Grifo has been directly involved in seven goals in just eight appearances for the national team, scoring four goals and assisting three. He's averaging a goal or assist every 61 minutes for the Italians, so we must back him to score or assist here.

"Everyone is aware of Harry Kane's goalscoring feats but he is also a great provider for his England teammates, so we'll combine the bet on Grifo with one on Kane to score or assist."

Back Grifo & Kane to score or assist @

4.92

San Marino v Northern Ireland: O'Neill might be made to wait

San Marino 50.049/1 v Northern Ireland 1.081/12, the Draw 16.015/1
19:45
Live on Viaplay Sports 1

Kevin Hatchard says: "They say you should never go back, but sometimes the truth is that you should never have left. Michael O'Neill had nearly three years at Stoke in which he wasn't able to make a significant impact, and now he has a second chance to try to take his country Northern Ireland to major tournaments, having led them to the finals of EURO 2016.

"In O'Neill's absence, Ian Baraclough had a mixed time. The Englishman got Northern Ireland to a EURO 2020 playoff final, but lost to Slovakia in extra time. He saw them finish third in World Cup qualifying behind Italy and Switzerland, managing goalless draws against both nations. However, NI were nearly relegated to the bottom tier of the Nations League on his watch too.

"O'Neill will doubtless benefit from some of Baraclough's excellent youth development work, and he now faces a qualifying group that features San Marino, Denmark, Finland, Kazakhstan and Slovenia. With the top two qualifying automatically, there is an opportunity here."

Back Northern Ireland, under 3.5 Goals and over 6.5 Corners @

2.12

Denmark v Finland: Take chance on slim win

Denmark 1.351/3 v Finland 14.013/1, The Draw, 5.24/1
19:45
Live on Viaplay Sports 2

Dan Fitch says: "This Scandinavian derby sees Denmark as heavy favourites. despite a disappointing World Cup where they failed to win a game (P3 (D1 L2). They should have enough to beat Finland at home, but it could be a slim victory. Take a chance on a Denmark win and under 2.5 goals at 2.92."

Portugal v Lichtenstein: Martinez to make winning start

Portugal 1.011/100 v Liechtenstein 150.00149/1, The Draw 75.074/1
19:45
Live on Viaplay Xtra

Dan Fitch says: "It's not exactly a bold claim to predict that Portugal will begin their Euro qualification campaign with a win against Liechtenstein. Now managed by Roberto Martinez, the Portuguese should dominate the entire match. Back a penalty to be awarded, at 5/6 on the Sportsbook."

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.