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Braga incredible value for UCL win
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Back Sociedad as they target top spot
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Mourinho's Roma backed in Europa League
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Back Bad Man's midweek 4-fold @ bigger than 5/1
With two games to go in Group C of the Champions league, Braga sit four points behind Napoli, and the remaining fixtures mean that we could be in for a mouthwatering end to the group stage.
The Italian champions travel to Madrid, with Los Blancos just a single win away from topping the group. If Napoli lose, the door swings wide open for Braga, who take on the proverbial whipping boys in Union Berlin.
A win for Braga would set up a monumental clash over in Naples on matchday six, a winner takes all scenario if you will.
But, it's not just game state that should see Braga over the line here, they're simply the better side, and proved that in the German capital with a 3-2 win over Wednesday's opponents on matchday two.
Not to mention, they're in fantastic form domestically, having won five and drawn one in their last six. They've scored 20 goals in that time, which should bode well given Union's defensive woes this season.
That form is of course a stark contrast to the German outfit. Union Berlin sit second from bottom in the Bundesliga, having lost a staggering nine in a row prior to their draw at the weekend.
Given that form, and the context here, Braga are incredible value at evens to take all three points.
After some impressive performances domestically over the last couple of seasons, Sociedad were rewarded with what appeared to be an incredibly competitive and even group on paper. However, it's been anything but.
Both Sociedad and Inter Milan have already booked their spots in the last 16, and three wins and a draw in their opening four fixtures suggests that the Spanish side belong amongst Europe's elite.
Their domestic results would only further reinforce that notion. There are no prizes on offer for guessing who their three defeats have come against this season.
Sure, Barcelona, and the two Madrid giants have beaten the Basque side, but Sociedad have been more than competitive in those fixtures, losing by just a single goal in all three.
Outside of that, they're unbeaten in all competitions, including a 2-0 win over Salzburg in Austria, a game in which Sociedad reduced their opponents to just one shot on target.
As for Salzburg, they've been fairly underwhelming in a group that they had every chance of progressing from. They've scored just three goals, two of which came against a Benfica side with 10 men.
That doesn't bode well against Sociedad, who have shipped just two goals in their four games, and who also have ambitions of topping the group.
Sure, Servette are in brilliant form, having won their last seven in the Swiss league, but their results in Europe would suggest that they're struggling to match up to their European counterparts.
Servette have won just once in their Europa League group this season, and they can thank a Sheriff capitulation, red card, and 92nd minute penalty for the three points there.
But, the most striking of their Europa League results thus far? That would be their 4-0 loss to Jose Mourinho's Roma.
It's safe to say that last season's beaten Europa League finalists battered their Swiss opponents back in October, limiting Servette to just one shot on target whilst amassing seven themselves. They even had a 2.33 xG to boot.
Roma come into this in much better form as well. That demolition job last month came off the back of just one win in their opening six. This time around, they've lost just once in seven in the league.
Not to mention, a win on Thursday would guarantee the Italian side safe passage to the knockouts. Expect them to go for the kill as a result of that.
Does it make sense to back a side who have already qualified for the knockout phase, will they not take their foot off the gas? I don't think Leverkusen will, and I don't think it's in Xabi Alonso's nature to send out a side with a view to sitting back.
Leverkusen are a full throttle side. They play at a breakneck pace, and that pace combined with an abundance of quality makes for a terrifying combination.
It comes as no surprise that they're yet to lose a single game in all competitions this season, scoring a ridiculous 37 in 12 in the Bundesliga, and another 12 in the Europa League to boot.
A draw with Bayern, wins against Leipzig and Union Berlin, Leverkusen are hanging with, and dispatching, those at the very top of the game.
They're a step above the likes of Hacken, their 4-0 win over them on matchday one evidencing that.
As for the Swedish outfit, they've seriously struggled at this level of competition. They've lost all four of their games, scoring just twice, and conceding 13..
Leverkusen may make some changes here, but a win guarantees them top spot, and I expect them to get the job done.
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