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Golf Tips: Best bets for Wells Fargo Championship and British Masters

Max Liu
04 May 2022
3:00 min read

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Get the best golf tips from Steve Rawlings, Dave Tindall and more for this week's Wells Fargo Championship and British Masters...

"Finau finished 29th on his only visit here in 2017 but given he has Muirfield Village form figures reading 8-11-40-13-MC-8-32 and Torrey Pine numbers that read 24-18-4-6-13-6-2-MC-MC, he's a very interesting runner."

Back Tony Finau @ 28.027/1

Wells Fargo Championship: Finau fancied to show Mexico was no fluke

The PGA Tour heads to Maryland for the Wells Fargo Championship this week and Steve Rawlings has the lowdown ahead of Thursday's start...

Steve says: "TPC Potomac is a proper test and accuracy is rewarded. Driving Distance is far from a crucial stat and hitting it straight is more important than hitting it long.

"Only two of the first 16 ranked inside the top-ten for DD in 2017 and the first five home in 2018 ranked 32nd, 64th, 26th, 25th and 52nd for DD...

"Canada's Corey Conners only finished 41st here in 2018 but he's bang in form, and he'll always be well supported at a venue like this, where accuracy trumps power and where strong putting isn't essential but whether he's value at less than 30.029/1 is debatable.

"As highlighted in the De-brief from last week's events, Tony Finau really caught the eye last week in Mexico and if it wasn't a one-off, he's sure to go close if he holds his form at a course where there isn't a premium on putting.

"Finau finished 29th on his only visit here in 2017 but given he has Muirfield Village form figures reading 8-11-40-13-MC-8-32 and Torrey Pine numbers that read 24-18-4-6-13-6-2-MC-MC, he's a very interesting runner."

Steve's bet: Back Tony Finau @ 28.027/1

Wells Fargo Championship Each-Way Tips: Woodland can get the win

Dave Tindall has three each-way tips for the action at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm starting with a US Open champion who plays well in the wind...

Dave says: "Gary Woodland had back-to-back top fives on the Florida Swing when fifth at both The Honda Classic and the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He's since added 21st at the Valspar, eighth at the Texas Open and, after a poor Masters, tied 24th in last week's Mexico Open.

"Looking at his numbers he ranked 2nd for Green In Regulation last week and 6th SG: Tee To Green, picking up 9.236 strokes on the field. Outside of the Masters he's finished in the top 13 for TTG in his latest three events.

"Woodland played here in 2018 and although 53rd doesn't look much he shot a trio of 69s. In addition he arrived having missed six of his previous 11 cuts so was looking for his game again after an early-season win in Phoenix.

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"History says he's one to look at when par means something and all three of his regular strokeplay wins have come on non par-72s so don't think he needs four par 5s to show his best."

Dave's bet: Back Gary Woodland each-way @ 29.028/1

Find Me a 100 Winner: Sun Kang can't be overlooked

Steve has long odds bets for both of this week's tournaments as he continues his bid to land a monster-priced winner...

Steve says: "TPC Potomac hosted the last two editions of the Quicken Loans National in 2017 and 2018 and it was also used for the last two editions of the now defunct Mid-Atlantic Championship on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2012 and 2103.

"Sung Kang didn't play in the 2012 edition of the Mid-Atlantic Championship but he finished sixth in the final edition a year later and on his only other two course appearances, he finished fifth in the Quicken Loans in 2017 and third a year later.

"Add in the fact that Kang's sole success occurred in the first two weeks of May, at the AT&T Byron Nelson Championship in 2019 and we have ourselves an interesting candidate.

"Kang had missed five cuts in-a-row before he finished 51st in Mexico last week so he cant be described as in-form but course form figures reading 6-5-3 can't be overlooked."

Steve's bet: Back Sung Kang @ 170.0169/1

Wells Fargo Championship First-Round Leader Tips: Home in on Henley

Dave has three bets for first round leader as he weighs up who will make a strong start at TPC Potomac on Thursday...

Dave says: "Russell Henley is in the fifth last group from the 1st tee and hopefully he can make hay from his 1.38pm start. Henley ranks 3rd for Round 1 Scoring on the PGA Tour this season, one of just four players to average under 68.

"Strokes Gained: Tee To Green looks a key stat this week given how the last two winners at TPC Potomac at Avenel - Kyle Stanley (2017) and Francesco Molinari (2018) - ranked 1st in that category.

"Henley is 6th for SG: Tee To Green in the current stats while on a course where accuracy counts more than usual, his 26th position for Driving Accuracy also bodes well. Looking back to last year's US Open, Henley has had a piece of the first-round lead three times in 20 starts.

Dave's bet: Back Russell Henley each-way @ 51.050/1

Wells Fargo Championship 2022: Form stats as the PGA Tour travels north to Maryland

Andy Swales provides the course info, the players' form stats and picks his ones to watch for this week's PGA Tour event at the Maryland venue.

Andy says: "Set in 220 acres of rolling woodland, TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm has some of the smallest putting surfaces on Tour and, when the course hosted the Quicken Loans National tournament in 2017, there were also tight fairways and heavy rough to contend with. Twelve months later playing conditions were eased, and scoring improved.

Water comes into play on six holes, some of it in the form of creeks, rather than large greenside hazards.

"TPC Potomac was chosen to stage this week's Wells Fargo event because its usual host - Quail Hollow - was named as the venue for the 2022 Presidents Cup match. This international team event will take place in September...

"It's another venue which should suit Matt Fitzpatrick who has become one of the most consistent pros in world golf. Six of his eight PGA Tour starts this year have yielded T20 finishes - four of which have been top-10s."

Andy's Player To Watch: Matt Fitzpatrick @ 25.024/1

British Masters: Nicolai chanced again at the Belfry

The DP World Tour moves on to England for the British Masters so read Steve Rawlings' comprehensive preview ahead of Thursday's start...

Steve says: "Richard Bland sat third after round one last year (trailing by two) and he was tied for the lead at halfway but he was still trading at 110.0109/1 before round four, having slipped to three adrift and tied 12th and a fairly slow start can definitely be overcome at the Belfry.

THE BELFRY 3 2021.jpg

"Having gone off at around 22.021/1, Hojgaard was matched at a high of 200.0199/1 in-running in 2020 after an opening 73 had seen him trail by nine and he was still seven back at halfway and five adrift through 54 holes. His seven-under-par 65 in round four was his best of the week and the joint-best of the day.

"Jose Maria Olazabal started slowly here in 2000, with an opening round of 75 that saw him sit tied for 25th and six off the lead, Paul Casey and Lee Westwood both trailed by five after round one when they won here and Fernandez-Castano was four adrift and tied for 24th after the opening round in 2008...

"Nicolai Hojgaard is definitely trending in the right direction and I'm happy to overlook Otaegui's missed cut after the disappointment of his second place finish the week before. The market appears to be reacting too severely to that one bad week.

Steve's bet: Back Nicolai Hojgaard @ 50.049/1

British Masters Each-Way Tips: Horsfield can go bats in the Belfry

Matt Cooper has three selections with the Betfair Sportsbook paying seven places for the British Masters...

Matt says: "Before the lay off (due to injury) Sam Horsfield played six times either side of New Year and was in tremendous form.

"Four of those starts reaped top 12 finishes, in a fifth he was on track for another before a poor final round, and in the last he was second after 18 holes before withdrawing after a second round played while hampered with the injury.

He contended in the DP World Tour Championship in that stretch and was fourth in the Dubai Desert Classic.

"His stats are a little limited this season, but he's sixth for Approach and eighth Tee to Green. Last year he was second and 11th. He was also 19th for Green in Regulation, 28th for Distance and 14th on the Par-5s.

"On debut at the Belfry last year he ranked fourth for Approach and eighth Tee to Green with solid traditional stats. If he can just find a bit more on the long holes he's got the game for this test."

Matt's bet: Sam Horsfield each-way @ 25.024/1

British Masters: Form stats as the DP World Tour reaches England

Andy Swales provides the course info, the players' form stats and picks his ones to watch for this week's event at the famous English venue.

Andy says: "Located close to the M6 Toll Road in Sutton Coldfield, the Brabazon is a flat parkland course that is well-bunkered, with water coming into play on 10 holes.

"The Brabazon made its name as a four-time host of the Ryder Cup (1985-89-93-2002) and demands good course management skills, along with an ability to read its many undulating putting surfaces.

"Co-designed by two Ryder Cup stalwarts from the 1950s and 1960s - Dave Thomas and Peter Alliss - the venue returned to the DP World Tour schedule in August 2020 following an absence of 12 years...

"Laurie Canter will tee-up at The Belfry frustrated by his back-nine performance in Spain on Sunday - when he posted a podium finish - but satisfied by his overall form. On his most recent outing on English soil, he tied-for-second at Wentworth last September."