Wednesday Football Tips: Goals value in 9/2 Bet Builder

A view from the stands of the Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, also known as La Fortaleza
The Estadio Ciudad de Lanus is where Wednesday's game will take place

With the international window now closed, our football props column is off to Argentina on Wednesday for a 9/2 Bet Builder...

Lanus v Union Santa Fe
Wednesday 27 March, 00:30 (Thu)

With the international window now closed and the elite players on their way back to their clubs, it's to Argentina we turn on Wednesday.

The country's first top-level tournament of the season, the Copa de la Liga Profesional, has continued through FIFA's window, with the group stage now just three games from concluding.

That means teams are getting desperate to get (or stay) inside the top four in each of the two pools and that's certainly the case for Union, who are two points outside that zone heading into matchday 12.

They face Lanus side who know a win could be good enough for them to book their quarter-final spot with two matches to spare.

Leg 1: Over 2.5 goals

Goals are often in short supply in this competition but that move towards the business end could well see figures on the rise in this round and those that follow.

Certainly 17/102.70 about over 2.5 goals in this one looks a tad big.

Lanus are Group B's leading scorers, while Union have landed this bet in five of 11 games so far.

The head-to-head gives greater confidence with six of the last 10 meetings having seen at least three goals.

OK, 3+ goals deserves to be odds-on but should it really be 4/91.44?

Leg 2: Union-Draw double chance

That H2H record also points the way to the second leg of our Bet Builder.

Union have proved something of a bogey team for Lanus, who haven't beaten them in the last six. You have to go back before the 2020 pandemic to find Lanus' last win.

It's also worth noting that Lanus have struggled, relatively, at home, winning only twice; they've claimed five victories on their travels.

As for Union, they've lost only once away and so they look to have a decent chance of avoiding defeat.

They've already drawn at group leaders Godoy Cruz so siding with them in the double-chance market looks wise.

On a tricky day for punters, more than 9/25.50 about this double looks worth a small try.

Back over 2.5 goals and Union-Draw double chance @ around 9/25.50

Bet here

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Column P/L 2023/24

Staked: 215pts
Returned: 235.73pts
P/L: +20.73pts

2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts

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