Lithuania v Turkey
Tuesday 7 June, 19:45
Live on BoxNation
Turkey were one of the big flops of last summer's European Championships but they've got enough in the tank to dismiss Lithuania in the Nations League on Tuesday night.
The Turks eased past the Faroe Islands in their group opener on Saturday, winning 4-0 on home soil, and now they travel to face a side who have regularly struggled.
The hosts have failed to score in 10 of their last 14 games, including the weekend's 2-0 home defeat to Luxembourg.
They've shipped three goals to Latvia, four against Northern Ireland and Switzerland and five to Italy in the last 12 months, so I'm happy to put Turkey down to cover a one-goal handicap.
A player who looks capable of finding the target is Cengiz Under, who has been in fine scoring form for Turkey since the Euros, netting in four of his seven games.
Looking longer term, he's scored seven in his last 15 appearances for his national side. Filter out games where he's only played 45 minutes and it's seven in 12.
The one-time Leicester loanee, who hit double figures for Marseille in Ligue 1 this season, netted against the Faroes on Saturday and can do so again here at a decent price of 15/8.
I'll complete our Bet Builder by adding Turkey to have over 1.5 cards, something they've managed in 22 of their last 30 internationals. For those concerned about the level of opposition, they landed this bet against the Faroes, as well as against Latvia in World Cup qualifying.
Serbian referee Novak Simovic is a high-carder too, averaging almost bang on five cards per game, both this season and last.
The three legs put together create a Bet Builder at just over 13/2 which looks worth a try.
Bet Builder tips for Germany v England!