Thursday Football Tips: Shaky Wolfsburg can offer Arsenal hope

Wolfsburg Women v Arsenal Women
Thursday 31 March, 17:45
Live on YouTube via DAZN

With the international window now closed and the return of domestic competitions awaited, top-quality women's action fills the void on Thursday evening.

The Champions League quarter-finals are at the second-leg stage and English WSL leaders Arsenal head to Germany to tackle Wolfsburg with the sides locked together at 1-1 after the first leg.

Both sides had chances to win that opening game but in the end the Gunners were grateful for an 89th-minute equaliser which earned them a draw - and it's worth remembering that the away-goals rule is no longer in operation.

In terms of the return game, the odds suggest another close encounter with the hosts a shade of odds-against to win in 90 minutes on the Exchange.

Last week's late goal at the Emirates was not a one-off as far as Wolfsburg are concerned and their propensity to concede late on produces a possible betting angle.

In their nine Champions League games this season, they've conceded in the last couple of minutes (or in added time) in five of them. On four occasions, the result has been affected.

The come-from-behind market is therefore eyecatching given Arsenal are 11/2 to draw from behind and 12/1 to win from a losing position.

Dutching the two (backing both options) produces a price of 10/3.

That bet landed in the first leg, while it also turned a profit in three of those UWCL other games in which Wolfsburg conceded late on.

On a night on which props options are thin on the ground, it looks worth a try.

To produce that optimal price, the stake split should be 33% on the 12/1 and 67% on the 11/2.

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