Paul Higham has managed to eek out a 6/1 Bet Builder from what should be a nailed-on Benfica win in Portugal as they face bottom side Paco Ferreira...
-
Benfica have won six away games to nil this season
-
Pacos haven't won at home in the league this season
-
For Thursday we're going to try and squeeze some value from the Portuguese Primeira Liga where Benfica look dead certs to win at bottom side Pacos Ferreira.
The visitors are 1/6 to win this top-versus-bottom encounter but even those odds look a bit big when you consider Pacos Ferreira have only won once all season - and have tasteed zero home victories.
They've lost seven of nine at the Estádio da Capital do Móvel with just two draws to cheer for their home fans - with five goals scored against 17 conceded.
Roger Schmidt's Benfica have won six of their eight away with just one defeat - which came at second-placed Braga at the end of December.
The two teams have similar records in reverse, with Benfica scoring 14 and conceding just four on the road, and they've managed to win six away games "to nil" in the league this season.
With the hosts struggling for goals then it makes sense to back a Benfica win to nil here as the base for our Bet Builder.
We'll add a goal for striker Goncalo Ramos, who has scored 21 goals for club and country this season, including that remarkable World Cup hat-trick for Portugal when he replaced Cristiano Ronaldo.
Understandable slow start on return from the World Cup but scored three times in his last two games so even at odds at 8/11 to score here we'll still back him as the third leg of our Bet Builder.
Finally, we'll add what for Benfica is an average corner total of over 6.5, which they've managed in five of their last seven games - and in fact they've averaged just over nine in their last three away games.
That's about a 6/1 Bet Builder for a Benfica win we're all very much expecting.