Thursday Football Tips: Back 18/1 fouls treble for Spain v Italy

• Jorginho has 2+ fouls in 3/4 internationals

• Di Lorenzo has 2+ fouls in 4 of 7 Italy games

• Back 18/1 Bet Builder treble on fouls

Spain v Italy
Thursday 15 June, 19:45
Live on Viaplay

A cracking-looking Nations League semi-final here as Spain and Italy clash in the Netherlands in a repeat of their final four meeting two years ago.

Spain won in 2021 while Italy prevailed on penalties in the European Championship semi-finals before going on to lift the trophy.

New Spain boss Luis de la Fuente has to solve a familiar problem for Spain - notably turning talent and possession into goals and wins, while Roberto Mancini wants a response after that damaging defeat tro Scotland in Euro 2024 qualifying last time out.

Leg 1: Carvajal 2+ fouls

It can often get a bit tetchy when these two old rivals meet, with seven yellow cards and a red in their last meeting at this stage of this competition two years ago.

There has been 32 and 35 fouls in the last two meetings so expect a few here - and that's got to bring Dani Carvajal into play for 2+ fouls at 17/102.70.

He's not given away a foul in his last four internationals (although still managed to get booked) but gave away 10 in the preceeding four and at the end of the season and against this opposition he'll soon revert to type at a nice price.

Leg 2: Di Lorenzo 2+ fouls

On the other side we've got Giovanni Di Lorenzo who also likes to get stuck in, shall we say, and he can match Carvajal with 2+ fouls at a more modest Evens.

Di Lorenzo has had a foul in six of his last seven competitive internationals, with four of those games being multiple foul outings.

Against Spain and their possession football he's primed for another two.

Leg 3: Jorginho 2+ fouls

And finally, it's hard to imagine Italy playing against this Spanish midfield and Jorginho not giving away a couple of fouls.

The Arsenal man is 4/7 for 1+ foul, but considering he's given away two fouls in three of his last four internationals then it's hard to turn that down.

Especially when considering that run, Jorginho at 13/5 for 2+ fouls looks pretty generous.