Bet of the Day

Monday Football Betting: All set for a derby card fest

Stefan Savic, Atletico Madrid
Stefan Savic: Carded in three of his last four games against Getafe

"In the 10 meetings since Getafe returned to the top flight in 2017, eight of them have seen a red card with 10 sendings off across those matches in total."

A La Liga derby with a rich history for cards is the focus of Monday's football props column - with an 18/1 Bet Builder looking tasty.

It might not be the most famous Madrid derby but it's a derby nonetheless and it promises to be a feisty opener to these teams' La Liga campaign.

The fixture's history certainly suggests so.

Last season the corresponding match saw nine yellows and a red shown, while the return game at the Metropolitano produced eight yellows and one red.

Looking longer term, there's a real pattern for dismissals.

In the 10 meetings since Getafe returned to the top flight in 2017, eight of them have seen a red card with 10 sendings off across those matches in total.

With one of last season's highest-carding referees, Jose Maria Martinez Sanchez, in charge, I'm happy to back the 9/5 there's another red card on Monday night. He averaged well over five cards per game in 2021/22.

The chance of a card-laden game is further highlighted by the fact that Getafe were the most-carded team in La Liga last season, with Atletico third in that list.

It therefore makes sound sense to delve into the player card markets too.

To produce a chunky Bet Builder price. I'll take one from each side, namely Domingos Duarte and Stefan Savic.

Duarte is expected to make his Getafe debut at centre-back and he's a physical player who certainly fits the home side's mould.

He was carded in eight of his 21 games for Granada last season and it's notable that he's received three cards in his five appearances against Atletico.

Throw in the likelihood that he'll be striving to impress in his first game and Duarte looks a strong play at 21/10 and gets the nod ahead of Getafe's most-carded players of last season, Damian Suarez and Mauro Arambarri, both of whom look too short in the market.

Savic received more cards than any other Atletico player in 2021/22 - 12 in 28 games - and he's got a record as long as his arm in this fixture.

The Montenegrin has been carded four times in eight outings against Getafe, including three of the last four.

Put the three legs together and you get a price of more than 18/1, one which history would suggest looks too big.

Bet £5, get £5 on Liverpool v Crystal Palace!

Recommended bets

Column P/L 2022/23

Staked: 59pts
Returned: 81.5pts
P/L: +22.5pts

New Customers can get £50 in free bets!

Available to new customers only. Place a £10 bet on the Betfair Sportsbook and you will receive £50 in free bets to use on Bet Builders and Accas! Opt-in here and T&cs apply.

Andy Schooler avatar

Andy Schooler

Andy Schooler has been writing about sport for more than 20 years.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

Upcoming Fixtures Across All Leagues

Mexico vs South Africa
View predictions

Korea Rep vs Czechia
View predictions

Canada vs Bosnia
View predictions

United States vs Paraguay
View predictions

Qatar vs Switzerland
View predictions

Brazil vs Morocco
View predictions

Haiti vs Scotland
View predictions

Australia vs Türkiye
View predictions