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Sporting have won nine of last 12
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Vitoria have lost four of last five
Monday 24 April, 20:15
Benfica did their bit for Tobias last night, but Estoril drew a blank, which wrecked the BTTS element of the bet. Despite that frustration, TG still made a profit, so he can have an extra pastel de nata.
We'll start our week in Portugal, because Lisbon giants Sporting are licking their wounds as they visit Vitoria Guimaraes.
Sporting went out of the Europa League in midweek, as a 1-1 draw at home to Juventus wasn't enough to take them through to the semi-finals. Now their only focus is trying to make sure they can qualify for the Champions League, and to do that they need to make sure of a top-three spot.
Sporting are currently ten points behind Braga in that race, so this trip to Guimaraes is pretty much a must-win encounter. Ruben Amorim's men have won nine of their last 12 league matches, and all but two of those victories have featured at least two goals.
Vitoria have unravelled in the last few weeks, losing four of their last five matches, including a 5-1 thrashing at the leaders Benfica. They have failed to win their last two home games, losing 2-0 to Arouca and drawing 0-0 with Pacos de Ferreira.
Although Vitoria are strong at home in general, they are struggling at the moment, and are without a clutch of players because of injury and suspension. I'll back Sporting to win, Over 1.5 Goals and Over 6.5 Corners on the Bet Builder at 2.0521/20. Both teams' league games average 9.5 corners this season.