Bet of the Day

Blackburn v Burnley: Szmodics and Carter at the heart of derby battle

Sammie Szmodics
Sammie Szmodics: Has committed a foul in eight of his last 11 games

Much is at stake in Tuesday's East Lancashire derby and our football props column is off to the fouls market at Ewood Park.

  • Both teams have major targets ahead of derby

  • Rovers' Szmodics & Carter fit fouls bill

  • Back 19/10 Bet Builder at Ewood Park


Lancashire hot pot cliché alert!

It's derby time in East Lancs on Tuesday night and this one really matters.

Hosts Blackburn are chasing a play-off spot but need at least a point here to keep things in their own hands heading into the final two games.

Burnley, meanwhile, are already promoted but know a win will see them crowned champions. In short, their need is less - even if they lose it still seems unlikely Sheffield United will catch them - but they will still want to get the job done.

They've won only one of four since securing promotion and at the weekend lost their 22-game unbeaten run, going down 2-1 at home to QPR.

However, Blackburn's form is arguably worse. They've stuttered badly of late and come into this one without a win in seven in all competitions. Their last four have all been drawn.

Given the need for points and the derby angle, expect this one to be highly competitive and that immediately points us towards the fouls market where two players stand out from the data, both from Blackburn.

Forward Sammie Szmodics has committed a foul in eight of his last 11 and comes into this game having riled fans - and perhaps officials - with his attempt to con all-comers and score with his hand against Preston at the weekend.

Expect him to be under scrutiny from both groups in this one.

Get Carter on coupon

Team-mate Hayden Carter is also ticking the boxes for a fouls bet.

The centre-back has managed at least one in seven of his last nine outings, including three in that 1-1 draw at Preston, and must now face the division's second-best attack.

A look at referee Tim Robinson's figures shows he's averaging 22.33 fouls per game in the Championship this season - that's 1.05 above the league average as a whole, so he seems a good appointment.

We'll therefore put the two players together in a Bet Builder for a decent-looking 19/10 shot.

Back Szmodics & Carter 1+ foul each @

2.9

Check out our Premier League tips and previews for Tuesday!

Recommended bets

Column P/L 2022/23

Staked: 280pts
Returned: 327.4pts
P/L: +47.4pts

New Customers can get £50 in free bets!

Available to new customers only. Place a £10 bet on the Betfair Sportsbook and you will receive £50 in free bets to use on Bet Builders and Accas! Opt-in here and T&cs apply.

Andy Schooler avatar

Andy Schooler

Andy Schooler has been writing about sport for more than 20 years.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

Upcoming Fixtures Across All Leagues

Mexico vs South Africa
View predictions

Korea Rep vs Czechia
View predictions

Canada vs Bosnia
View predictions

United States vs Paraguay
View predictions

Qatar vs Switzerland
View predictions

Brazil vs Morocco
View predictions

Haiti vs Scotland
View predictions

Australia vs Türkiye
View predictions