Bet of the Day

Sevilla v Granada: 9/1 card feast on La Liga's menu

Granada's Argentine centre forward Lucas Boye is sent off by Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Lucas Boye was sent off by Mateo Busquets Ferrer earlier this season

Sevilla v Granada looks a good recipe for cards, according to our football props column, which is bidding to follow up an 11/4 winner with another at 9/1 on Sunday night...

Sevilla v Granada
Sunday 5 May, 20:00
Live on Premier Sports 1

Sunday night's game in La Liga looks a good recipe for cards.

Leg 1: Over 4.5 cards

Both teams are in the top eight for cards received, while the referee - Mateo Busquets Ferrer - is this season's highest carder in Spain, averaging more than six per game.

Throw in the fact the two sides still need points (Sevilla still aren't safe from the drop, while for Granada this is pretty much must-win in their relegation fight) and that both have hit a decent patch of form, and I'm happy to get involved in the card markets.

First of all, over 4.5 cards looks a solid base for our Bet Builder - it's landed in 14 of Busquets Ferrer's 18 league appointments in 2023/24.

Leg 2: Lucas Boye to be shown a card

Moving into the player-card market, Granada striker Lucas Boye looks the value call at 4/15.00.

Those are eyecatching odds given he's been carded in eight of 25 La Liga starts this season. The bare numbers suggest we're getting almost double what we should.

Interestingly, Boye, who is his side's leading fouler with 2.6 per game committed on average this term, was sent off by this referee earlier in the season.

Leg 3: Loic Bade 1+ foul

It is the Argentine who is also linked to out final Bet Builder leg which is Loic Bade to commit 1+ foul.

The Sevilla defender is set to be in direct opposition to Boye, who is a player who likes to dribble with the ball and is more than capable of drawing fouls.
Bade has committed a foul in seven of his last nine matches and it's not hard to see him delivering another for us in this contest.

The three legs combine for a bet which pays around 9/110.00 - hopefully a good way to end the week.

Back over 4.5 cards, Boye to be shown a card & Bade 1+ foul @ around 9/110.00

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Column P/L 2023/24

Staked: 245pts
Returned: 265.08pts
P/L: +20.08pts

2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts


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