Bet of the Day

Borussia Dortmund v PSG: Back 4/1 cards Bet Builder

English referee Anthony Taylor will be in charge of Dortmund v PSG
Anthony Taylor: Strong card record in his UEFA club appointments

With Anthony Taylor in charge, our football props column is keen to delve into the card markets for Wednesday's Champions League semi-final between Dortmund and PSG.


Borussia Dortmund v Paris Saint-Germain
Wednesday 1 May, 20:00
Live on TNT Sports 1

The appointment of Anthony Taylor to referee a Champions League game always sets the head alarm off.

Leg 1: Over 4.5 cards

He's long produced high card counts in his UEFA club appointments and the stats show that - 28 of his last 45 such matches have seen at least five cards. This season, six of eight have produced 4+.

Of the four teams left in the competition, these two are the highest fouling sides, with PSG top. The French champions also lead the way in terms of fouls won and cards received (27 in 10 games).

Throw in what's at stake and I'm keen on some sort of replication and over 4.5 cards at 4/51.80 appeals.

Leg 2: Ian Maatsen to be shown a card

As I've written previously, there's often value to be found in the player-card markets with the high-carding officials.

My pick from that market here is based largely on what I see as a key element of the contest.

Dortmund boss Edin Terzic says he is aiming to "establish a small advantage" in this first leg but to do that he'll need to be brave in an attacking sense.

Full-backs Ian Maatsen and Julian Ryerson played important roles in the quarter-final victory over Atletico Madrid and can push PSG back if they go for it and get forward.

However, the obvious danger is PSG's pacey attack hitting them on the counter, getting them on the turn and in behind.

Finding the balance may be tricky and with that in mind, plus the referee appointment, I like the 11/43.75 about Maatsen being carded.

Since joining on loan from Chelsea in January, he's picked up a card in seven of his 18 games for Dortmund and facing Ousmane Dembele won't be easy here.

Backing Maatsen and over 4.5 cards pays around 4/15.00.

Back over 4.5 cards & Maatsen to be shown a card @ around 4/15.00

Bet now

For those seeking something bigger, consider doubling Maatsen up with his direct opponent Dembele in the player-card market.

Demeble has been carded in four of his nine Champions League matches this season. That double works out at 18/119.00.


More Dortmund v PSG: Paul Higham's big-match verdict!


Football... Only Bettor - European semi-finals special - listen here!

Recommended bets

Column P/L 2023/24

Staked: 241pts
Returned: 261.39pts
P/L: +20.39pts

2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts

Claim your completely free Acca or Bet Builder!

Available to new and existing customers. Betfair are giving you a completely free Acca or Bet Builder on each of the first five days of Euro 2024! Make sure you opt-in and find all the details here! T&Cs apply (value of free bet varies).

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.