Paul Higham fancies Atletico Madrid to grab a rare away victory as they travel to winless bottom side Almeria on Saturday night...
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Almeria still winless as Atleti arrive
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Get 11/26.50 on away win Bet Builder
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It's a whopping two games unbeaten for bottom side Almeria who are still searching for a first win in this La Liga season as they host Atletico Madrid on Saturday night.
But although Almeria are hurtling towards the worst ever La Liga campaign, they have drawn four of the last five at home and Atleti are only clinging to fourth place due to their home form.
On the road, Diego Simeone's side have been ordinary at best with five defeats in seven, but they have been against much better opposition. If Atleti want to finish in the top four they have to put teams like Almeria away.
Atleti may have won just one of five away from home. but they've faced three of the top five in that span, so that form line could be a little false.
They're still not the best travellers, but 3/41.75 for the fourth-placed side in the division to beat the winless bottom side is too good to ignore.
Simeone knows how to get a top-four finish and they simply can't be passing up cances for three points like this.
He's been lighting up the fouls column recently, and nobody has given away more for Atletico this season in La Liga than Saul Niguez.
He's had eight games with multiples fouls given away in and Almeria will certainly put up a fight that Atleti will have to match.
And Niguez has shown has two of those multiple foul games in his last four, so we'll definitely take the 5/61.84 on 2+ fouls from him again.
Marcos Llorente scored twice in Ateltico's last league game, and is third on the team in terms of shots on target this season.
He's hit the target in three of the last five games, so the 5/42.25 on Llorente to have 1+ shot on target looks a great bet.
We'll add him in to complete a nice Saturday night treble.
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