After yesterday's 10/1 shot traded at 1/14 before losing, Andy Schooler gets back on the horse and heads to Argentina on Thursday...
-
Under 2.5 goals has landed in 12 of 16 combined games
-
Sides' total corner average around 7, so back under 10.5
-
Two legs produce an odds-against Bet Builder
Argentinos Juniors v Godoy Cruz
Thursday 30 March, 01:30 Fri (BST)
There's another limited fixture programme on offer on Thursday so I'm turning to Argentina's Primera Division in search of profit.
I'm happy to confess I'm no expert on the workings of Argentinian football but from a data point of view, there's enough to like about this game to get involved.
Two things stand out - a lack of goals and a lack of corners.
Juniors have seen just 12 goals (seven for, five against - the second best defensive record) in their eight league games so far this season, while Godoy have hardly been great entertainers with their matches seeing only 14 (7-7).
Of the sides' 16 combined games, only four have gone over 2.5 goals so that looks a solid platform for our Bet Builder.
Perhaps unsurprisingly, the lack of goals is also reflected in the corner stats with Godoy's games seeing an average of 6.9 per game, the lowest in the division. They have also conceded the fewest (2.5 p/g).
Juniors aren't much higher up that 'total corners' table with a figure of 7.2.
Given such numbers, under 10.5 total corners looks another strong play.
Put it together with the goals bet and you get a Bet Builder price of around 6/5.
It's hardly one to set the mouth watering but will do just fine on a day of few options with better bets just around the corner.
Premier League #OddsOnThat: Run-in bets from 5/2 to 100/1!