Premier League Bet Builder Tips: Five Opta bets to 7/2 on Wednesday and Thursday

• Odegaard backed to help Gunners go top

• 3/14.00 Bet Builder sees City edge past Villans

• Reds to power past blunt Blades

• Read about Betfair's 90 Minute Payout offer here

Wednesday 19:30 - Arsenal v Luton

Arsenal can go top of the Premier League for 24 hours if they beat Luton on Wednesday evening. The Gunners proved their title race mettle in their 0-0 draw at Manchester City on Sunday and need to follow up with three points here.

Teams	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	PTS	xGF	xGA	xGD	EXP	FCST
1 Arsenal	38	26	7	5	71	27	85	0	0	0
2 Man City	38	23	9	6	77	35	78	0	0	0
3 Man Utd	38	20	11	7	69	50	71	0	0	0
4 Aston Villa	38	19	8	11	56	49	65	0	0	0
5 Liverpool	38	17	9	12	63	53	60	0	0	0
6 Bournemouth	38	13	18	7	58	54	57	0	0	0
7 Sunderland	38	14	12	12	42	48	54	0	0	0
8 Brighton	38	14	11	13	52	46	53	0	0	0
9 Brentford	38	14	11	13	55	52	53	0	0	0
10 Chelsea	38	14	10	14	58	52	52	0	0	0
11 Fulham	38	15	7	16	47	51	52	0	0	0
12 Newcastle	38	14	7	17	53	55	49	0	0	0
13 Everton	38	13	10	15	47	50	49	0	0	0
14 Leeds	38	11	14	13	49	56	47	0	0	0
15 Crystal Palace	38	11	12	15	41	51	45	0	0	0
16 Nottm Forest	38	11	11	16	48	51	44	0	0	0
17 Spurs	38	10	11	17	48	57	41	0	0	0
18 West Ham	38	10	9	19	46	65	39	0	0	0
19 Burnley	38	4	10	24	38	75	22	0	0	0
20 Wolves	38	3	11	24	27	68	20	0	0	0

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We believe Arsenal will win but, after the reverse fixture ended 4-3 to Mikel Arteta's men, should we be backing more goals when Luton visit the Emirates?

Arsenal have won all five of their league games against promoted sides this season, netting at least three goals each time (23 goals in total), and on that basis it is tempting.

However, we have the chance to back under 3.5 goals at odds-against and, at a busy stage of the season when title contenders must strike a balance between winning and conserving energy, that appeals. Backing Martin Odegaard, who has been involved in 12 goals in his last 12 Premier League appearances against promoted sides, to score or assist boosts the price to 7/24.50.

Wednesday 19:30 - Brentford v Brighton

Brentford have won just one of their five Premier League games against Brighton (D1 L3), though it was a 2-0 win in this exact fixture last season. Meanwhile, Brighton have won just three of their last 17 away league games against Brentford (D5 L9).

The timing may favour the vistors as Brentford have lost all four of their midweek matches this season, while Brighton have lost just one of their last seven evening kick-offs. On top of that, Brentford are winless in their last four Premier League home games (D2 L2).

Neither side inspires confidence but The Bees came close to beating Manchester United here at the weekend and, after that encouraging performance, are backed to win or draw here. We'll take Ivan Toney (three goals in his last two Premier League games against Brighton) to score.

Wednesday 20:15 - Man City v Aston Villa

Like Arsenal last weekend, Aston Villa are looking to secure their first league double over Manchester City after beating them 1-0 in the reverse fixture. For the champions, meanwhile, this is a must win after drawing their last two in the league (prior to the 0-0 against Arsenal, Guardiola's men were involved in a 1-1 at Anfield).

Villa are unbeaten in their last five Premier League away games (W3 D2) and Unai Emery will relish the chance to keep that record intact here. City are excellent at bouncing back after a disappointing result, however, and we take them to win a tight match here. They have won their last 13 home games against the Villans.

Thursday 19:30 - Liverpool v Sheffield United

Liverpool are top of the table going into this round of Premier League fixtures and Jurgen Klopp will be hoping they win more comfortably on Thursday night than in Sunday's come-from-behind victory over Brighton.

The Blades are weaker opponents than the Seagulls but Chris Wilder's men have earned four points from their last three Premier League away games (W1 D1 L1).

Still, the Reds should be rampant against a team that has conceded a division-high of 77 goals this season. Mo Salah came good for us last time out, but hasn't scored or assisted a goal in any of his three Premier League
appearances against the promoted sides this season, so we will back both Luis Diaz and Alexis Mac Allister to score or assist as Liverpool cover the handicap.

Thursday 20:15 - Chelsea v Man Utd

With Chelsea 11th in the table, under-pressure Mauricio Pochettino could do with a victory against a big team to show that they are making progress under him. But the Blues are winless in their last 12 Premier League games against Manchester United (D7 L5) and lost 2-1 at Old Trafford earlier this season.

Both sides drew last time out - Chelsea 2-2 at home to 10-man Burnley while sixth-placed United conceded a late equaliser at Brentford - and both are unreliable teams to back in match odds markets.

That said, this fixture has ended in a draw for the past three seasons, with the last two finishing 1-1, and a point a piece would not be a bad result for either side. Chelsea have both scored and conceded in 19 different Premier League games this season, so we are backing goals for both teams on Thursday.

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