Sunday Premier League Tips: Mbeumo and Jimenez backed plus a 12/1 Chelsea Bet Builder

• Brighton winger tipped to run foul

• Mbeumo integral again for Reds

• Palmer to extend shot-spike at Emirates

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Listen to Football...Only Bettor Arsenal v Chelsea preview

Brighton v Nottingham Forest - Fouls fancied at Amex

Brighton v Nottingham Forest
Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports +

Forest have failed to score in 48% of their league fixtures this term while Brighton have only conceded 1.1 goals per 90 on the South Coast in 2025/26. Under 0.5 goals for the visitors is a shout at 2/13.00

As for individuals, the Seagulls' propensity to try the referee's patience leads us to a tricky, tenacious winger.

Gomez a repeat offender

Only two teams have drawn more fouls than Forest this term while only two teams have fouled more than the Seagulls. All told, Brighton have committed 12.1 misdemeanours per 90.

Though they tend to share these around, Diego Gomez and Jack Hinshelwood's numbers are high and it's the former who has erred the most in recent weeks, gaining our attention here. In fact, the Paraguayan has fouled every 23 minutes in his last two outings.

On Sunday he comes up against Neco Williams whose marauding runs forward will test him.

Fulham v Tottenham - Spurs face further shots fired

Fulham v Tottenham
Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

Last week's heavy NLD defeat was further evidence that Spurs are in serious and sustained peril. A hefty 20 shots were conceded and the lack of fight shown in front of a new manager, and in such a critical game, was startling.

Fulham away is a tough fixture to respond to a nine-game winless run and a welter of negative press. The Cottagers have only failed to score once at home all season.

Jimenez on target

Harry Wilson to score or assist at 11/102.11 tempts, the Welsh schemer ending a short barren spell with a goal involvement last weekend.

Raul Jimenez first goalscorer at 4/15.00 is also a consideration, the 34-year-old opening the scoring in 32 of the 61 Premier League games in which he has converted.

Let's stick with the Mexican striker and go with shots on target though, especially as Spurs have faced 22 in their last three outings. That contrasts to eight faced in their three games prior.

Jimenez has registered seven SOT in his last five starts.

Man United v Crystal Palace - Bryan backed to down Eagles

Man United v Crystal Palace
Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports Main Event

Unbeaten post-Christmas, United are hitting the heights under Michael Carrick and with Sesko super-subbing and Mbeumo highly impactful they should have the beating of a Palace side who remain unconvincing. This is despite the Eagles recently arresting an alarming slump.

Late goals have been a feature for the revived Reds. Twelve of their last 15 have come in the second period.

Mbeumo integral again

Bryan Mbeumo has scored twice in his last three meetings with Palace and, more persuasively, boasts five goal involvements in six as Carrick's better structured approach takes hold.

One of several players to elevate his game under new management, the Cameroon forward has averaged 1.3 key passes, 2.5 shots and 10.1 carries per 90 since Amorim departed. Once again he will play an integral part of a United forward-line that has converted every 38 minutes at Old Trafford in 2026.

Arsenal v Chelsea - 12/1 Bet Builder

Arsenal v Chelsea
Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports Main Event

Chelsea are winless in eight against the Gunners and even if they gain an advantage at the Emirates doubts will remain. Only West Ham have dropped more points from winning positions in the top-flight.

Related to this, ten of the Blues' last 11 league outings have finished with both teams scoring so that's a viable add to the builder below.

Enzo, Cole and Caicedo treble

In such a fierce, marquee clash we can expect Enzo Fernandez to be in the thick of it. The midfielder has 2.9 foul involvements to his name in his last 10 starts.

We're staying with the Blues for shots too, in part because Chelsea have taken on 35 in their three meetings with Arsenal this term to the Gunners' 30.

Cole Palmer has let fly every 20 minutes across his last five appearances.

Lastly, the recent League Cup second-leg meeting between these sides was a rarity in that it only produced three bookings. The five encounters prior to that produced 6.1 per 90, plus a red card last November for Moises Caicedo.

Unsurprisingly, it is Caicedo who interests us here, with six cautions in 10 league starts since that dismissal.

Now read Premier League Opta Stats, the best bets for Matchday 28