Premier League Tipsheet: Five cracking bets for Saturday from 8/11 to 23/10

• Arsenal set to extend fine form

• Goals expected at City Ground

• Newcastle to put Reds to sword

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Arsenal v Wolves (15:00) - Corner kings

As bad as Lens were, the Gunners were scintillating mid-week, scoring five before the break, with a goal apiece from an attacking quintet that had a point to prove. Whispers were loudening that Arsenal's forward play this season has been half a level below what we witnessed last term.

At the back there has been no such concerns, keeping six clean sheets, and three from five in Europe. It's a solid unit made hermetic from Declan Rice's protection.

Yet still, with Saturday in mind, it's worth noting that Wolves have scored in each of their last 12 league outings, and with Hwang Hee-chan boasting nine goal involvements to date it's tempting to back both teams to score even if the visitors aren't fancied to ultimately prevail.

Returning to Arsenal's front-line, Bukayo Saka is averaging 2.7 key passes per 90 while a previously misfiring Kai Havertz has two in two, but it's their high corner count that intrigues.

8.7 won per game is a league high and then some.

Brentford v Luton (15:00) - Bees abuzz at Gtech

The Hatters have put in more crosses than any other side in the top-flight (294), a direct approach that has unquestionably had a negative knock-on effect elsewhere. They've had the joint-fewest number of shots on target and are one of only three sides still to score from outside the box.

Highlighting downsides however feels somewhat disingenuous given that Rob Edwards' side have recently lifted themselves out of the bottom three and though it can't be measured, it's a substantial factor that Luton now have the belief they can compete at the highest level.

A propensity to score late goals has served them well, with exactly two-thirds of their league haul converted beyond the 80th minute.

They'll likely struggle here though, against a Brentford collective who are always a very dangerous proposition at home.

The Bees have lost just five of their last 26 at the Gtech, those defeats coming against Arsenal (twice), Liverpool and Newcastle. Moreover, they have only trailed in games - home and away - for 181 minutes this term.

As ever, Bryan Mbeumo is the player to watch, scorer of just shy of a third of Brentford's league goals.

Burnley v Sheff United (15:00) - Heads kept

The Clarets have been breached every 36 minutes this season, the Blades every 34. With their defences too often exposed, and thereby exposing their limitations, it hardly shocks that a clean sheet still eludes both of them.

At the other end it doesn't get any better, Vincent Kompany's strugglers scoring every 111 minutes and United every 106, and factoring in all manner of other depressing stats it's an easy claim to make that these are the worst two sides in the top-flight in 2023/24, and by some distance.

Determining an outcome therefore is difficult, it largely depending on who better handles the pressure, and which side uncharacteristically displays a clinical edge on the day.

The same goes for shots, corners, you name it. Against anyone else it's shrewd to back either side to fall short. Here, they're taking on an equal.

Let's play it fairly safe then and go with a neat twist on discipline. Because stereotype has it that a relegation six-pointer often descends into a card-fest as heads are lost. In actual fact the nine previous encounters this term between the current bottom six have produced a perfectly ordinary four yellows per 90.

Nottingham Forest v Everton (17:30) - Goals are a given

Pertinently, the Toffees have the biggest negative difference between goals scored and expected goals this term, a wastefulness that again was in evidence during their highly-charged encounter with Manchester United last weekend.

The 3-0 scoreline omits the narrative of several missed chances.

It's a habit that has most cost them dear at Goodison, with 78% of their points picked up on their travels before Premier League charges saw most of them rescinded. Abdoulaye Doucoure can take a lot of credit for their decent away form, scoring three times on the road while averaging 1.7 shots per game all season.

The midfielder was Everton's best player when they drew 2-2 at the City Ground back in March.

As for Forest, recent weeks have revealed the best and worst of Steve Cooper's side, scoring 2+ goals in four of their last five, but also conceding 2+ goals in four of their last five.

If this is a dull, goalless affair it will have come out of nowhere.

Newcastle v Manchester United (20:00) - Reds put to sword

Newcastle have done admirably well in navigating their injury crisis and the same can be said of the visitors whose long list of absentees have gone somewhat under the radar this season and unfairly so.

Despite being deprived of first-choice centre-backs and the likes of Casemiro and Christian Eriksen, the Reds have won their last four on the road, keeping clean sheets in their last three league outings. The doom and gloom that pervaded Old Trafford several games in feels like a long time ago.

Still, Wednesday night vs Galatasaray reminded us of an odd weakness Erik Ten Hag's men have for conceding multiple goals in quick succession. On seven occasions now they have been breached before conceding again less than 10 minutes later. It's perhaps relevant that one of these times was against Newcastle in the Carabao Cup.

This should not surprise because the Magpies have form for scoring in bursts, doing so against Villa, West Ham, and Chelsea last week. Against Sheffield United they did so three times over.

All of which is to say that Eddie Howe's side have it in them to mercilessly put the Reds to the sword at St James' Park.

They've won five on the bounce at home, to an aggregate score of 12-1.

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Read Jack Critchley's Saturday Championship Tips here