Premier League Tips: MD33 best bets involving Liverpool, Man Utd and Tottenham

Tottenham v Brighton: Side with the Seagulls

Tottenham v Brighton
Saturday 18 April, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports

Roberto De Zerbi admitted he couldn't change too much tactically in such a short period of time but the Italians debut in the dugout for Tottenham largely underwhelmed. Spurs weren't awful in defeat at Sunderland, though the strugglers were still wasteful, lacked craft or guile in possession and still appear crippled by a lack of confidence.

Losing skipper Cristian Romero for the season capped a forgettable afternoon on Wearside. The erratic Argentine will be missed - over Tottenham's past 100 EPL outings, the team's points per-game average drops from 1.33 to 0.85 without him in central defence, whilst their win rate drops and their loss rate hikes to a hefty 62%. 

Spurs attempt to overcome their shortfalls against Brighton and they're well worth opposing again here. The hosts have tabled just four triumphs in their past 30 Premier League home fixtures, recording only six clean sheets in their last 55 top-flight tussles in front of their own supporters and it's difficult to see those records improve.

Brighton are aiming for Europe, have won three away on the spin without conceding and have lost only four of their 24 encounters with teams outside the top-five. The Seagulls have scored in 30 of their 35 away league games under Fabian Hurzeler and therefore look well worth supporting off a 0-ball start on the Asian Handicap at 1.855/6.

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Chelsea v Manchester United: Goals galore at the Bridge

Chelsea v Manchester United 
Saturday 18 April, 20:00
Live on TNT Sport

Chelsea have lost three successive league games without scoring for the first time in 28 years and the Blues are now equal distance to Fulham in 12^th as they are from the top-five. Since beating Brentford in mid-January, the capital club's only clean sheet has come against Port Vale as they continue to giveaway cheap goals.

However, Manchester United arrive at Stamford Bridge without Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martinez and Matthijs de Ligt, leaving Lenny Yoro and Ayden Heaven as the Red Devils' only centre-half options for Saturday night's showdown. With Michael Carrick's men managing a solitary away shutout in the Premier League this season, goals appeal.

Both Teams To Score has proven the right play in 14 of Man Utd's 16 road trips this term and I'm happy to package BTTS alongside Under 4.5 Goals for a 1.9620/21 Bet Builder selection. Just three of the combined 32 home/away league dates involving the two teams have featured 5+ strikes - we'll be cheering on the 1-1, 2-2, 2-1 or 3-1 either way.

Everton v Liverpool: Keep tough Toffees onside

Everton v Liverpool
Sunday 19 April, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports

Liverpool rallied reasonably well without success against PSG - match that came at a cost for Arne Slot. Hugo Ekitike's injury and Alexander Isak's lack of match fitness hampers the attack, Joe Gomez was forced off with a complaint and Jeremie Frimpong was hauled off at half-time as the Reds try to shoehorn him into the side at right-back.

Despite positives in their performance, the Merseysiders fell to a 17^th loss across all competitions this season ahead of the derby. This isn't a fixture the Reds win regularly - one win in eight trips to Everton and just three in a 14-game sample going further back - 10 of those tussles ended all-square and a repeat holds plenty of appeal here too.

However, I'm happy to back Everton with a +0.50 Asian Handicap start here at 1.758/11. The Toffees aren't particularly pretty but they're pragmatic, well-prepared, well-rested and capable of big results. Chelsea were turned over impressively in their last home outing, whilst only Arsenal and Man Utd have amassed more points since MD19.

Meanwhile, Liverpool have tabled just four triumphs in 14 away recent league games, have posted W1-D2-L6 on trips to teams in 13^th and above, whilst their only convincing road victory came at Sunderland. Late goals were required at Newcastle and Burnley, they fluffed their lines at nine-man Spurs and were battered away at Nottingham Forest.

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