English Premier League Tips

Premier League Tips: Final day best bets involving Arsenal, Man City and Tottenham

  • Mark O'Haire
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 3:00 min read
Image for Mark O'Haire's Notebook column with Premier League tips
Mark has found three plays for MD38 in the Premier League

Mark O'Haire's latest Notebook pinpoints three punting angles to follow across MD38 of the Premier League including Tottenham v Everton...

  • Get Mark O'Haire's tips for three Premier League games this weekend

  • Expect European finalists to go easy
  • Pep's farewell will be friendly
  • Spurs can win cards and corner battles
  • For the latest Betfair football odds click here

  • Click here for more football predictions

  • Safe Sub is here for the 2025-26 season - read all about it!


Football... Only Bettor. Listen to our Premier League final day preview


Crystal Palace v Arsenal: Pair prioritising Europe  

Click here for full Crystal Palace v Arsenal odds
Sunday 24 May, 16:00
Live on Sky Sports

Both Crystal Palace and Arsenal will have very little interest in their MD38 fixture with much bigger fish to fry in the next seven days. The Eagles are involved in their first-ever European final on Wednesday night, whilst the Gunners are fresh from securing title honours and only six days out from the Champions League finale.

Players will be eager to avoid injury and so it's difficult to see either side producing the aggression required to rack up a high card count here. Farai Hallam has the whistle - the arbiter has produced card hauls of 4-2-3-3 in the EPL and has given a maximum of one card in four Championship outings already this term - he's not prone to big totals.

It's worth noting, Arsenal are the cleanest team in the top-flight and the last two meetings with Palace have produced just one booking and so I'm happy to oppose cards here with Under 1.5 Cards trading at [23/20] on the Betfair Sportsbook.

Manchester City v Aston Villa: Celebratory atmosphere at The Etihad

Click here for full Manchester City v Aston Villa odds
Sunday 24 May, 16:00
Live on Sky Sports

There should be a celebratory atmosphere at The Etihad as Man City bid farewell to Bernardo Silva and quite possibly, Pep Guardiola too. With Aston Villa potentially hungover from their historic Europa League success - and subsequent open top bus parade - it's difficult to see this contest producing plenty of fireworks.

With that in-mind, opposing cards makes plenty of sense. Andrew Madley is officiating and the official has flashed Under 2.5 Cards in five of his last six final day fixtures and a repeat stands-out at 5/61.84 quotes here, whilst an interest in zero cards could also give punters a reasonable run for their money considering the circumstances.

Tottenham v Everton: Spurs to rack up the corners and cards

Click here for full Tottenham v Everton odds
Sunday 24 May, 16:00
Live on Sky Sports

A point will suffice for Spurs as they bid to preserve their Premier League status, though Roberto De Zerbi's troops make little appeal as odds-on favourites. Tottenham have tabled just four home league triumphs in their past 32 and have registered only six clean sheets in 57 home EPL outings heading into Sunday's critical showdown with Everton.

The Toffees campaign appears to have run out of steam, yet David Moyes' men provide awkward opposition - only Arsenal and Man City have won more away points than the Merseysiders this term. So instead of entering the 1x2 market, or taking a handicap option, our best option could be to enter the Bet Builder, supporting cards and corners.

Since De Zerbi arrived at Spurs, the hosts have won the following corner totals: 6-7-5-5-14-4 as well as the following card totals: 3-3-4-5-3-3. Over the course of the campaign, Tottenham average 6.17 corners and 3.11 cards in front of their own supporters so let's back Tottenham Over 5.5 Corners and Tottenham Over 2.5 Cards at 2.982/1.

Read Dave Tindall's Spurs v Everton match preview with a 13/114.00 tip here

Premier League MD38: The Over 1.5 Goals acca

Sunday 24 May, 16:00
Live on Sky Sports

We'll sign off the 2025/26 Premier League season with a bit of fun - backing 2+ goals in each of Sunday's matches at 11/26.50 courtesy of the Specials offering.

That might sound ambitious but there is method to the madness. This wager has won in three of the past 11 EPL MD38s and fallen one game short on four occasions in that same sample - that means in eight of the most recent 11 campaigns, this selection has either won or lost by the narrowest of margins.

Over 1.5 Goals has an 86% hit-rate across those 11 MD38s with a 3.36 goals per-game average, suggesting there's a nice slice of value available here, even on a 10-fold accumulator.  


Now read today's Premier League tips and previews here.


Recommended bets

New Customers can get £50 in free bets!

Available to new customers only. Place a £10 bet on the Betfair Sportsbook and you will receive £50 in free bets to use on Bet Builders and Accas! Opt-in here and T&cs apply.

Mark O'Haire avatar

Mark O'Haire

Long-standing betting.betfair tipster and member of the award-winning podcast, Football... Only Bettor.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

Upcoming Premier League Fixtures

No upcoming matches to display.