Nations League Monday Tips: Back Belgium to frustrate France & 28/1 Acca

Georgia v Ukraine Tip - Back Ukraine win to nil at 16/54.20

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17:00 kick-off

A last-gasp defeat against Northern Ireland made it six defeats in seven for Georgia, who are 13/82.63 to bounce back in Tbilisi where they've got a W10 D5 L5 record over the last 20. Ukraine are 8/52.60 after an impressive 1-0 win in Hungary, and they're unbeaten in 11 previous meetings.

New Ukraine boss Andrea Maldera has now won three of his four games in charge, all of which came with a clean sheet so it's clear how he wants his side to play. Backing them just to win is a decent enough price but their recent form suggests a clean sheet isn't out of the question.

Belgium v France Tip - Back a 29/103.90 draw in Brussels

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19:45 kick-off
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This looks a tough one for 10/111.91 France, who edged Turkey 1-0 in Zinedine Zidane's first game in charge, while 13/53.60 Belgium were impressive 2-0 winners in Italy in Mark van Bommel's debut as their new boss. The Red Devils are also on a six-game unbeaten run at home, winning five and keeping five clean sheets.

Kylian Mbappe is an injury concern for France and he's unlikely to be risked. Even though France have plenty of attacking options he's their talisman and his absence gives Belgium a great chance of the upset. I don't know if Belgium would go all-out for the win though knowing how dangerous France are, so on balance the draw at 29/103.90 looks on.

Turkiye v Italy Tip - Azzurri to bounce back at 8/52.60

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19:45 kick-off
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Both teams are looking for a bounceback here after those opening defeats, Turkiye's loss to France was their first at home in 10 Nations League games and they're 13/82.63 to get back to that strong winning home form, while Italy are 8/52.60 but have lost three of the last four.

Italy have never lost to Turkey, and recent trends suggest at the very least they'll take the lead, as they've scored first in eight of the last nine matches, while Turkey have gone behind in their last five in a row. Roberto Mancini won't want to start his second spell in charge with two defeats so expect an improvement here - and a welcome away three points.

Sweden v Poland Tip - Same again for Swedes in Stockholm

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19:45 kick-off
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Beating Romania made it eight unbeaten in the Nations League for Sweden. They're 8/111.73 to add a seventh win in nine against 13/53.60 Poland who played out a lacklustre 0-0 against Bosnia in their first game.

The Poles will surely be up for this one though after suffering a heartbreaking 3-2 defeat in Stockholm in March in their World Cup play-off, but they'll need to wake up from this slump of form they're in.

Sweden's defence should help, as 10 of their last 11 games saw both teams score, the same as six of Poland's last eight on the road. But with Alexander Isak firing Sweden look to be on the up with Poland heading in the opposite direction.

Romania v Bosnia Tip - Back 23/103.30 Bosnia in Bucharest

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19:45 kick-off
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Romania have to play behind closed doors in Bucharest so no fans will be able to roar them on to a afifth straight home win, which is priced up at 11/102.11 with Bosnia 23/103.30 after a pretty drab 0-0 in Poland where they had just one shot on target.

Bosnia did win 1-0 on their last trip to Romania and have won three of the last four meetings between the two. They're a savvy side who can defend - don't expect too many goals here and the draw at 12/53.40 will no doubt be popular. But at the price I fancy Bosnia here to just have that extra pinch of quality to squeak a victory.

N. Ireland v Hungary Tip - Visitors win at Windsor Park again at 7/24.50

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19:45 kick-off
Live on BBC One NI

Two 1-0 wins in their first games but vastly different - Hungary frustrated home losers against Ukraine while Irish eye swere smiling thanks to a 99th-minute winner in Georgia. The hosts are 13/82.63 favourites as well with Hungary 15/82.88 but having never lost at Windsor Park with four wins from five.

There's not too many goals in games involving either side so this looks like another low scoring scrap - Northern Ireland's last six games at Windsor Park went under 2.5 goals - but surely Hungary's quality will get the job done even priced up as underdogs.

Back Paul's 28/129.00 Nations League Acca

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