Brentford's season seems to be running out of steam as it's now six Premier League games without a win. It's seven games if you include their defeat on penalties in the FA Cup quarter-final to this weekend's opponents West Ham. The run leaves the Bees in ninth, two points behind Brighton in sixth, but with remaining games including both Manchester City and Liverpool away, it may be a tough ask to finish in the European places.
West Ham's last gasp winner against Everton kept them two points clear of the relegation zone after Tottenham finally won a Premier League match. With Leeds facing Burnley on Friday night, it looks like it could be a three-way shoot out for relegation along with Nottingham Forest.
Goals have been at a bit of premium for both sides so I'm surprised to see Over 2.5 goals is the overwhelming favourite at just 4/71.57. Brentford have failed to score in four in of their last eight and seven of West Ham's last 10 games have seen Under 2.5 goals. Therefore backing Under 3.0 Asian goals is the way to play this. The only way the bet will lose is if there are four or more goals.
Back Under 3.0 Asian goals in Brentford v West Ham
Such is the crisis that Newcastle United find themselves in, they are now being discussed in the relegation battle. It's probably fuelled by Sunderland fans and as a result a bit of a leap with an eight point gap and three teams between them with just four matches remaining. However, their form is concerning having now lost four Premier League matches in a row and nine of their last 12.
Brighton are the form side in the division, having won six of their last eight matches. This is reflected in the odds with the Seagulls almost equal favourites to win the match at 8/52.60. We could back them Draw No Bet at 9/101.90 but it's better to attack the bigger price of Brighton to score Over 1.5 goals at 23/202.15 and not worry about if they win. They've scored at least two goals in six of their last eight and Newcastle have conceded at least two in eight of their last 12 games.
Back Over 1.5 Brighton goals v Newcastle
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It's now three Premier League defeats in a row for Wolves, but it wasn't so long ago that they were beating Liverpool and Aston Villa in back-to-back home games. Sunderland have lost their last two, conceding nine in the process, but previous to that had won three of four which probably encapsulates the unpredictable nature of the Premier League with just 11 points separating 11 teams from Brighton in sixth to Nottingham Forest in 16th.
With the pressure off for both sides at Molineux, it could be a more open game than the market forecasts. Six of Wolves' last nine against Premier League opposition have seen Over 2.5 goals and nine of Sunderland's last 14 league matches have featured three or more goals.
Back Over 2.5 goals in Wolves v Sunderland
This will be a quick turnaround for Arsenal after playing on Wednesday night in Madrid. Is Mikel Arteta trying to play with the handbrake on to bring trophy success? The Gunners have only scored six goals in their last eight games. For Fulham, five of their last six Premier League games have finished with Under 2.5 goals which is driven by the fact they've failed to score in four of them.
With Arsenal having won the reverse fixture 1-0, and also won 2-1 here this time last season, it could be another tight victory for the Gunners in their quest for the Premier League title. Arsenal are 2/51.40 but we can boost that to 7/101.70 by backing them alongside Under 4.5 goals.
Back Arsenal to win and Under 4.5 goals
Back Under 3.5 goals in Brentford v West Ham, Over 1.5 Brighton goals, Over 2.5 goals in Wolves v Sunderland and Arsenal and Under 4.5 goals