Premier League: Back 10 Bets via Opta Stats
- MD6 column had a 50% hit rate - a profitable week
- Betfair's Stats guru Alex Boyes runs you through the pre-match Opta stats to aid your Premier League betting ahead of the weekend's action
- As patterns of the new season begin to emerge through six games, all Betfair Bets are driven by the data
- You can get £2 free Bet Builder this weekend on any Premier League match.
Aston Villa v Southampton
Ings to haunt former employers
The Opta Stat:
"Aston Villa striker Danny Ings has scored four goals in the last three Premier League meetings between the Villans and Southampton at Villa Park, with just one of those coming for his current club. Indeed, despite playing less than half the minutes available so far in the Premier League this season (253), Ings has had more shots (8) and more touches in the opposition box (20) than any other Aston Villa player."
The Betfair Bet:
Read Mark O'Haire's match preview here!
Nottingham Forest v Fulham
Mitro's on fire, your defence is terrified
The Opta Stat:
"Aleksandar Mitrovic has scored six goals in Fulham's opening six Premier League matches this season, netting in the last four in a row. No player has scored in five consecutive Premier League appearances for the Cottagers, though Nottingham Forest are the only side to have faced 100+ shots in the Premier League this season (104), while they've also faced the most shots on target (42) and have the highest expected goals against tally this term (12)."
The Betfair Bet:
Read Stephen Tudor's Friday/Saturday tipsheet piece here!
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester City
De Bruyne's De Man
The Opta Stat:
"Against no side has Man City's Kevin De Bruyne scored more Premier League goals than he has against Wolves (5), with four of those strikes coming in a 5-1 win in this exact fixture last season. Teammate Erling Haaland meanwhile has scored in all three of his Premier League away games - no player has ever scored in their first four appearances on the road in the competition."
The Betfair Bet:
Read Paul Higham's match preview here!
Newcastle United v Bournemouth
Tight affair at St James'
The Opta Stat:
"Bournemouth have had just 34 shots in the Premier League this season, at least 22 fewer than any other side so far. They've also had a league-low 12 efforts on target. Meanwhile only Nottingham Forest (42) have faced more shots on target than Newcastle in the Premier League this season (36). However, the Magpies have conceded just six goals, with their 17% of shots on target faced going in, the lowest percentage in the division."
The Betfair Bet:
Tottenham Hotspur v Leicester City
Spurs' use of the Kane
The Opta Stat:
"Since Leicester's return to the Premier League in 2014, only Arsenal vs Liverpool (64) has seen more goals in the Premier League than Leicester against Tottenham (63 - 3.9 per game on avg). Indeed, Tottenham striker Harry Kane has scored more goals against Leicester in all competitions than he has against any other side in his senior career (19), 17 of which have come in the Premier League, with only Alan Shearer netting more against a specific opponent (20 vs Leeds)."
The Betfair Bet:
Brentford v Arsenal
Bees gunning for Arsenal
The Opta Stat:
"Brentford have won five of their six home league games against Arsenal (L1), including a 2-0 victory in this exact fixture last term. In fact, the Bees have lost just one of their last 17 home league London derbies (W13 D3), going down 1-0 against Chelsea in October last season."
The Betfair Bet:
Everton v West Ham United
No Pickford, potential problem
The Opta Stat:
"West Ham have won both of their last two Premier League away games against Everton, each by a 1-0 scoreline. They've never won three consecutive trips to Goodison Park in their league history. However, no side has scored fewer Premier League goals than West Ham this season (3), with the Hammers the only side yet to score before half-time in the competition this term."
The Betfair Bet:
Recommended bets
Football... Only Bettor - Listen here
New Customers can get £50 in free bets!
Available to new customers only. Place a £10 bet on the Betfair Sportsbook and you will receive £50 in free bets to use on Bet Builders and Accas! Opt-in here and T&cs apply.
Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.
Discover the latest articles
Upcoming Premier League Fixtures
No upcoming matches to display.
Most Read Stories
-
Football Tips & Predictions
Friday's International Football Tips: Bank on clean sheets for Mexico and Hungary
-
Football Tips & Predictions
World Cup Tips: Full team-by-team guide and bets bets from elite football tipster Mark O'Haire
-
Football Tips & Predictions
Golden Boot Betting Guide: Who will win at the 2026 World Cup
-
Football Tips & Predictions
Lionel Messi v Cristiano Ronaldo: The last dance at the 2026 World Cup - who will score more?
-
Football Tips & Predictions
Liverpool Manager: Andoni Iraola in line for Anfield job after shock Arne Slot sacking