English Premier League

Premier League Opta Stats Betting: Back 25/1 scorer tip and 5/2 OddsBoost

Newcastle defender Fabian Schar
Over 50% of Fabian Schar's 16 shots this season have come from outside the area

The action comes thick and fast in the Premier League with another 10 games to get stuck into starting on Sunday. Alex Boyes is backing a Newcastle defender at Old Trafford...


Football... Only Better Podcast - Listen to the latest episode now!


Leicester City v Manchester City

Clean sheet adds a generous boost

The Opta Stat:

"Manchester City have won their last four Premier League away games against Leicester without conceding a single goal. In their league history, they've never won five in a row away against an opponent while keeping a clean sheet each time. Indeed, Manchester City have won 19 of their last 20 Premier League games against promoted sides (D1), including each of the last 10 in a row. They last had a longer such winning run between December 2009 and December 2011 (12)."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Man City to win & BTTS - No @ 6/42.50



Crystal Palace v Southampton

It's not too late to say Sarr-y

The Opta Stat:

"Ismaïla Sarr has recorded at least two shots on target in three of his last five league games for Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park, including three against Arsenal in his most recent home outing. Southampton meanwhile, have faced more shots on target than any other side this season."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Ismalia Sarr to have 2 or more shots on target @ 7/42.75


Everton v Nottingham Forest

Ndiaye, will always love you

The Opta Stat:

"Iliman Ndiaye has won at least two fouls in each of his last six league games at Goodison Park for Everton, including four in the most recent game against Chelsea."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Ola Aina to commit 2 or more fouls @ 6/42.50


Fulham v Bournemouth

Back Adams to be fouled

The Opta Stat:

"Tyler Adams has recorded at least three tackles in each of his last three away league appearances for Bournemouth, including five in the most recent such game at Manchester United. Indeed, he has been fouled five times in his last 230 minutes of action."

The Betfair Bet:


Tottenham Hotspur v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Forster in for another busy afternoon

The Opta Stat:

"Tottenham goalkeeper Fraser Forster has made 3+ saves in five of his last seven home Premier League games, including in each of his previous three such matches."

The Betfair Bet:


West Ham United v Liverpool

Back the value of the OddsBoost

The Opta Stat:

"Only Erling Haaland has had more shots on target in the Premier League this season than Mohamed Salah (34), who averages 2.0 per 90 minutes. Jarrod Bowen, meanwhile, sits joint-ninth in the same list with 21, and has hit the target at least once in nine of his last 10 games."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Mo Salah to have 2 or more shots on target & Jarrod Bowen to have 1 or more shots on target @ 5/23.50


Aston Villa v Brighton & Hove Albion

Seagulls to come out Soaring

The Opta Stat:

"Coming into this round of matches, no team has scored the first goal in more different Premier League away games than Brighton this season (7). However, the Seagulls have only gone on to win three of these games (D2 L2)."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Brighton to score the opening goal @ 7/52.40


Ipswich Town v Chelsea

Palmer's Premier League Playground at Portman Road

The Opta Stat:

"No player has scored more Premier League goals in 2024 than Cole Palmer, with his 26 strikes also the most of any Chelsea in a single calendar year in the competition's history. Indeed, with seven goals and four assists, Chelsea's Cole Palmer has been involved in 11 goals in his last seven Premier League games against promoted sides, averaging a goal or assist every 54 minutes in this run."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Cole Palmer to both score & assist @ 7/24.50


Manchester United v Newcastle United

Newcastle to make things worse

The Opta Stat:

"Manchester United have now conceded seven set-piece goals in nine matches under Ruben Amorim, including Wolves' opening goal last time out. Newcastle's Fabian Schar meanwhile, has had 16 shots this season, with over half coming from outside the area, and at least two shots in six appearances."

The Betfair Bet:


Brentford v Arsenal

Captain Martin causing choas

The Opta Stat:

"Martin Ødegaard is averaging 1.5 fouls won per game in his last 11 Premier League away appearances for Arsenal, winning two at Crystal Palace."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Martin Odegaard to be fouled 2 or more times @ 16/54.20


Opta Stats P/L 2024-25 -

(Recommended bet(s) of the week)

Stake: 33pts
Return: 60.55
P/L: +27.55
ROI: +83%

(Overall Column)

Stake: 163pts
Return: 170.7
P/L: +7.7
ROI: +4.8%


Now read more of today's best tips and previews here!


Recommended bets

New Customers can get £50 in free bets!

Available to new customers only. Place a £10 bet on the Betfair Sportsbook and you will receive £50 in free bets to use on Bet Builders and Accas! Opt-in here and T&cs apply.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.