English Premier League Tips

Arsenal v Burnley: Rampant Gunners can land 9/1 Bet Builder

  • Dave Tindall
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 4:00 min read
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Dave Tindall is backing the Gunners to smash Burnley on Monday evening...


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Gunners closing in on title glory

The Emirates has been a nervy and angst-ridden place to be on plenty of occasions this season despite Arsenal racking up 14 wins from their 18 top-flight home games.

But the victory over Atletico Madrid that booked Arsenal's place in the Champions League final against PSG showed how electric the atmosphere can be and Mikel Arteta will hope the team and fans can feed off each other again on Monday night.

Teams P W D L GF GA PTS xGF xGA xGD EXP FCST
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71 27 85 0 0 0
2 Man City 38 23 9 6 77 35 78 0 0 0
3 Man Utd 38 20 11 7 69 50 71 0 0 0
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56 49 65 0 0 0
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63 53 60 0 0 0
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58 54 57 0 0 0
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42 48 54 0 0 0
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52 46 53 0 0 0
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55 52 53 0 0 0
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58 52 52 0 0 0
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47 51 52 0 0 0
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 53 55 49 0 0 0
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47 50 49 0 0 0
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49 56 47 0 0 0
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41 51 45 0 0 0
16 Nottm Forest 38 11 11 16 48 51 44 0 0 0
17 Spurs 38 10 11 17 48 57 41 0 0 0
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46 65 39 0 0 0
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38 75 22 0 0 0
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27 68 20 0 0 0
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Arsenal are in golden position to win their first Premier League title since 2004 and victories over Burnley and Crystal Palace guarantee it. The celebrations could even begin on Tuesday if newly-crowned FA Cup winners Manchester City fail to win at Bournemouth.

Burnley as bad as Wolves

Arsenal couldn't have picked more accommodating opponents to allow them to take one step closer to title glory.

Wolves have been bottom all season and regarded as the worst team in the league. But knock off the first couple of games when Burnley banked an early win and the two sides have the same absymal record: 18 points from the last 34 games.

Burnley, who were relegated three matches ago, have lost 13 of their 18 away games and surely that becomes 14 out of 19 here.


Gunners have incentive to win big

This is just about as one-sided a win market as you can get. You can see that in visual form below.

Arsenal are 1/121.08 for the win while Burnley are 25/126.00 and The Draw 11/112.00.

Those odds are obviously of no interest but some of the bigger numbers on the Alternative Handicaps are - for two reasons.

For starters, check the away goals against column in the Premier League. Burnley stick out like a sore thumb having conceded 45 times on their travels. That's the worst record by a dozen goals. The trio on 33 are the unlikely combo of Wolves, Bournemouth and Liverpool!

Arsenal are the second highest home scorers in the top-flight so the conditions are there for the Gunners to rack up a big score.

The second thing is that it would be very advantageous to do that. As it stands, Arsenal have a goal difference of +42 to Manchester City's +43. A 5-0 win on Monday could even allow the Gunners to draw at Crystal Palace on final day and still win the title if City didn't beat Bournemouth and Aston Villa by a combined four-goal margin.

An early Arsenal goal could really fire up the stadium and then those big winning margins come into play.

Scorelines are an option but Burnley have managed 20 away goals - just two fewer than Aston Villa - and I wouldn't rule out another.

So the bet is Arsenal to win by 4 or more goals which could still very well land even if Burnley nick a consolation at some point.

Saka and Gyokeres ripe for Bet Builders

So who gets the goals if Arsenal dish out a thumping?

The most confident pick has to be Viktor Gyokeres, who has netted 14 times for the Gunners since Christmas. That includes a brace in Arsenal's most recent home Premier League game - the 3-0 win over Fulham.

Bukayo Saka was sidelined for a month between late March and late April and hasn't really had his best stuff this season.

But perhaps the England man is saving his best for the crunch closing stretch as he's scored in Arsenal's last two home games.

As well as backing those two anytime and the Arsenal winning margin, I'll add in over 7.5 home corners to complete the idea of this being a real one-sided pummeling.

Arsenal had 10 corners against Bournemouth, eight against Everton and seven against Newcastle in three of their last four home top-flight matches.

Burnley, along with Bournemouth, West Ham and Wolves, concede over six corners per match away from home. As they're facing a title-hunting Arsenal, expect that average to rise.

That four-leg Bet Builder pays 9/110.00.


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Dave Tindall avatar

Dave Tindall

Dave is a passionate sports fan with a particular love for football, golf and snooker and he is one of Betfair's long-standing football and golf tipsters

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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