Football Bet of the Day: Real won't romp home tonight

Real Madrid v Athletic Bilbao
Tuesday 21:00 (Live on LaLiga TV)

In Israel yesterday, Maccabi Haifa took a first-half lead over Hapoel Tel Aviv but couldn't build on it. The hosts won 1-0 and we get half our stake back.

Today we're in Spain to see whether Real Madrid can close the gap to city rivals Atletico and league leaders Real Sociedad at the top of La Liga. Zinedine Zidane's men have a strong recent record against Athletic Bilbao, but we're not expecting a blowout.

Real Madrid are W13-D2-L0 hosting Athletic Bilbao in La Liga, though those two draws have both come in the last three seasons. Home and away, Athletic have held Real to a point in 4/6 Liga encounters since 2017. Five of those six matches finished with Under 2.5 Goals. Six of Real's last nine league games at the Bernabeu have also been low scorers.

This season 4/7 Athletic Bilbao away games have ended with Under 2.5 Goals. They've scored only six times themselves across those seven matches, while never conceding more than twice. We fancy there's half a chance tonight's clash is a low scorer so will back Under 2.5 Goals at odds-against.