Copa America Bets of the Day: Mexico to stay perfect, Uruguay to save face

A shock last night as Peru beat Brazil 1-0 and condemned the five-time world champions to a group-stage exit from the Copa America for the first time in almost three decades. The pain is not so great for our marathon man, who picked Ecuador to beat Haiti easily. 4-0 they won in the end and Kev continues to plough a profitable furrow in 2016.

We begin with the final round of matches in Group C. The games pitches two teams who've won their first two games against each other, and two teams who've lost twice already. In each case, however, there's a clear favourite. Mexico are 1.558/15 to beat Venezuela and top the group. Uruguay are the same price to hand Jamaica the wooden spoon. For reasons explained below, we fancy both of them to make good on those short odds.

Mexico v Venezuela
Tuesday 14 June 01:00 BST

Having won their first two group games 3-1 over Uruguay and 2-0 against Jamaica, Mexico are now unbeaten in 21 games (including friendlies) since they lost their final group game of last year's Copa America.

El Tri have won each of their last 10 matches within 90 minutes. That goal against Uruguay is the only one they've conceded along the way. Assuming they want to avoid Argentina in the quarter-finals, the Mexicans should be fully committed to topping the group. A draw would be good enough, but it would also mark a slight loss of momentum.

Venezuela have nothing to lose. Already qualified, they must beat Mexico to top the group. If they come out on the front foot, we'd expect the Mexicans to pick them off. Although Rafael Dudamel's men have beaten Jamaica and a Luis Suarez-less Uruguay, their form coming into the tournament was not good. Mexico are their toughest opponent yet and we expect the Creoles to fall short.

Uruguay v Jamaica
Tuesday 14 June 03:00 BST

If Luis Suarez returns to action for this consolation match, Uruguay should be much too strong in attack and defence (where Atletico Madrid's Diego Godin is in charge) for their Caribbean opponents. Oscar Tabarez's men had won 5/7 matches coming into this tournament, before losing Suarez to injury and falling to defeats against Mexico and Venezuela.

Jamaica lost 3/3 in last summer's Copa America and we expect them to complete an unhappy double hat-trick in Levi's Stadium. Rather than taking the short odds about Mexico and Uruguay as single selections, we're combining them in a multiple that will pay out at 2.37 if the favourites both deliver.

Recommended Bet
Back Mexico & Uruguay @ 2.37 in a Multiple