Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: Best bets for Premier League and more

Norwich v Millwall: Goals forecast for Friday night in Norfolk

Norwich 1.9620/21 v Millwall 4.57/2, the Draw 3.6553/20
20:00 on Friday
Live on Sky Sports Main Event

Mark O'Haire says: "Despite securing a solitary win on their return to the second-tier, Norwich 1.9210/11 have won the non-penalty Expected Goals (npxG) battle, the shot count, and corner count in all four of their fixtures thus far.

"Dean Smith's side have landed more attempts at goal and hit the target more often than their divisional rivals. However, they're yet to keep a clean sheet.

"Millwall 4.407/2 produced their best work at The Den during last season's top-10 finish. The Lions have however, only registered five away victories in 25 going back to the beginning of 2020/21 (W5-D10-L10). The Bermondsey boys boasted a respectable W2-D6-L3 when travelling to top-half teams with just one of those losses arriving by a margin of two goals or more."

Mark's bet: Back Both Teams To Score @ 1.9010/11

Tottenham v Wolves: Back Son to supply in Spurs win

Tottenham 1.454/9 v Wolves 8.46373/50, the Draw 5.04/1
12:30
Live on BT Sport 1

Paul Higham says: "Wolves have dominated possession in both their games but struggled to turn that into goals, or even shots on target - while Spurs meanwhile have had more shots on target than anyone in the league so far with 13.

"Wolves have been a defensive team in recent times, but they shipped two at Leeds and only kept a clean sheet against Fulham thanks to a missed penalty, so they could struggle to keep Spurs at bay.

"Antonio Conte's side have conceded first in both league games so far, but the bookies still don't fancy both teams to score here, with that being the 2.01/1 slight outsider. Goals are fancied though, with under 2.5 goals also priced at 2.01/1 with overs much shorter at 1.758/11."

Paul's bet: Back Spurs to beat Wolves & over 2.5 goals @ 2.111/10

Everton v Nottingham: Lingard may find space in open contest

Everton 2.021/1 v Nottingham Forest 4.3100/30, the Draw 3.613/5
15:00

Alex Keble says: "Forest's winning start last weekend was somewhat fortunate. West Ham couldn't quite capitalise on the huge space the hosts had opened up between the lines as a consequence of deploying such a direct style (or perhaps simply as a result of having so many new players).

Judging by their first couple of games, Steve Cooper will be relying on a long-ball game more than most; they have a pass completion rate of just 67.8%.

Everton are equally open, as they always have been under Frank Lampard. He does not seem capable of designing a system that stays compact despite seemingly deciding to give up on his attacking beliefs, signing Conor Coady to move permanently to a 5-4-1 formation. Aston Villa walked through midfield multiple times last weekend, including for both goals.

Alex's bet: Back over 2.5 goals at 2.01/1

Preston v Watford: Hornets to drop more points on the road

Preston 2.8615/8 v Watford 2.8615/8, the Draw 3.259/4
15:00

Jack Critchley says: "In defence, PNE have been imperious and are yet to concede a goal. Although they haven't endured the toughest fixture list, they are unlikely to be breached easily this season with Liam Lindsay and Jordan Storey performing admirably in recent weeks.

"Watford fans were also left disappointed by their side's inability to convert on Tuesday night with the Hornets dropping points in the West Midlands. Rob Edwards' side have yet to score more than a single goal in a game so far this season and with Joao Pedro reportedly heading to Newcastle, their strikeforce looks set to be diminished further.

"Nevertheless, the Hertfordshire outfit are tough to beat and this could be a tight game. Using the Bet Builder, we can take Preston Double Chance and add Under 2.5 Goals at around 11/10."

Jack's bet: Back Preston Double Chance and add Under 2.5 Goals at 2.111/10

Charlton v Cambridge: Addicks to keep on rolling

Charlton 1.748/11 v Cambridge 5.49/2, the Draw 4.03/1
15:00

Alan Dudman says: "The hosts are 100% at home so far with a 1-0 win against Derby, although they had far less possession in that than they did against Plymouth. Sixteen shots on target from their first two games at the Valley shows there is a lot of attacking intent from Charlton.

"Cambridge have lost both games on the road so far and only Burton Albion (10) and Plymouth Argyle (6) have conceded more goals in open play in League One this season than the U's (5) according to Opta stats.

"We aren't getting a great price on the hosts at 1.748/11, but we can play that as the cover bet almost to play something a bit more fancy, especially as the visitors have a dreadful record against the Londoners."

Alan's bet: Back Charlton @ 1.748/11

Swindon v Rochdale: Robins to feed on visitors' woes

Swindon 1.981/1 v Rochdale 4.131/10, the Draw 3.6553/20
15:00

Ian Lamont says: "The Robins have a chance to kick start their season against a team who have only scored one goal. Scott Lindsey's men have themselves only netted twice, with Harry McKirdy finding the net to draw with Leyton Orient after Jacob Wakeling managed a goal at Carlisle.

"Lindsey says his side is a "work in progress" which is disappointing considering they have just three points, from as many straight draws, after reaching the play-offs last season. One wonders if they would have won at least twice had Ben Garner not left for Charlton."

Ian's bet: Back Swindon @ 2.0421/20

Bournemouth v Arsenal: Time to side with red-hot Jesus

Bournemouth 8.615/2 v Arsenal 1.4640/85, the Draw 4.84/1
17:30

Andy Schooler says: "Gabriel Jesus' capture already looks a great piece of business with the former Manchester City man having hit the ground running after being given the star role as the club's centre forward.

"He looks to be brimming with confidence and after a fine start away to Crystal Palace in the opening game he was virtually unplayable against Leicester last weekend when he could easily have scored more than the two goals he actually did. With no midweek game either side of this match, it's hard to envisage Mikel Arteta making any changes.

"Bournemouth have won one and lost one so far and it's hard to draw many conclusions about Scott Parker's side. They won't be to the only team to lose 4-0 at Manchester City this season, one suspects, and while they did manage to beat Aston Villa in their only home game so far, they did so courtesy of some poor defending on a couple of set-plays."

Alex's bet: Back Gabriel Jesus to be first goalscorer @ 5.04/1

Torino v Lazio: Ciro loves Toro

Torino 3.1511/5 v Lazio 2.486/4, the Draw 3.5551/20
17:30

Chloe Beresford says: "After drawing each of their last three encounters, Torino have won only one of their last eight meetings with Lazio, and will not be looking forward to another clash against Maurizio Sarri's high-flying side.

"Indeed, Lazio have scored at least two goals in each of their last five league matches, while also seeing over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 16 away games in Serie A.

"Ciro Immobile is always at the forefront of that attack, and he has registered seven goals and an assist in his last seven meetings with his former side. With that in mind, the tip here is to back Ciro Immobile to score anytime, a market which is available at odds of 2.255/4."

Chloe's bet: Back Ciro Immobile to score any time @ 2.255/4

Union Berlin v RB Leipzig: Stick with the Union

Union Berlin 3.711/4 v RB Leipzig 2.166/5, the Draw 3.711/4
17:30
Live on Sky Sports

Kevin Hatchard says: "RB Leipzig have started the campaign by losing 5-3 at home to Bayern in the Supercup, and they have drawn with Stuttgart and Köln in the Bundesliga. Sport CEO Oliver Mintzlaff was far from happy after that 2-2 against the Billy Goats, although he'll have been lifted by the goalscoring return of Timo Werner, who has just rejoined the club from Chelsea. The link-up between Werner and Christopher Nkunku (who has scored in all three competitive appearances this term) could be one of the most thrilling in the league this season.

"Leipzig are too short here. Union have won the clubs' last three Bundesliga meetings, including the last two in Berlin. I'll happily back Union +0 & +0.5 on the Asian Handicap at 2.1411/10. If the game is drawn, we get a half-win, but we get an odds-against pay-out if the hosts take three points."

Kevin's bet: Back Union Berlin +0 & +0.5 @ 2.1411/10