Football Bet of the Day: Bulls to pressure Bayern

Kevin Hatchard
16 April 2021
1:30 min read

Julian Nagelsmann faces his former club tonight

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Sun 10 Apr, 18:30

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We're looking for a third straight winner, and Kev's taking us back to Germany.

"Hoffenheim have taken just a point from their last four games, and Leipzig should outclass them here. 14 of Leipzig's 18 league wins have featured fewer than four goals."

Back RB Leipzig to win and Under 3.5 Goals at 2.226/5

It was a case of torture in Turkey last night, as Bursaspor made us wait a long time, before striking their first goal in the 85th minute, and the second one in the 94th. That gave the hosts the 2-1 win they needed, and the two goals we required for an odds-against winner.

We'll head to Germany now, as title-chasing RB Leipzig take on Hoffenheim. The visitors have already let us down once this week, as they stubbornly refused to lose to Bayer Leverkusen, but we'll give them another chance to be the failing side I recognise them as.

Hoffenheim have collected a solitary point from their last four games, and there are rumours of unrest in the camp. Coach Sebastian Hoeness feels as if he's on shaky ground, with the club well short of the top six and still not safe from relegation. Injuries have played their part, but former Bayern reserve-team boss Hoeness has failed to stamp his authority on the team.

Hoeness and indeed every Hoffenheim boss has had the bar set very high by Julian Nagelsmann, who has to be seen as the most successful coach in the club's history. He took charge at 28, and twice led the club into the Champions League. He is now in charge of a Leipzig side that is still in contention for the Bundesliga title.

Nagelsmann has won all three of his league meetings with his old club, and his side has taken maximum points from eight of the last ten top-flight matches. Another win tonight would close the gap between the Red Bulls and leaders Bayern to just two points.

If you look at Leipzig's 18 league wins this term, 14 of them have featured fewer than four goals, and that's the way I'm going tonight. The reverse fixture was a 1-0 win for Nagelsmann's men, and I'm going for Leipzig to win and Under 3.5 Goals on the Sportsbook's Bet Builder at 2.226/5.

FBOTD 2021 P/L

Points Staked: 53
Points Returned: 41.78
P/L: -11.22 points

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