European Football Tips: Roma to extend good recent run against Milan

AS Roma celebrate
La Lupa (the she-wolf) entertain Milan at Olympic Stadium
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Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers...

This weeks Best Bet: Back AS Roma to win above a fair value of 1.54 (currently available at [1.8])


Germany Bundesliga
Hannover v B. Monchengladbach
Saturday, February 24, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.54] Draw [3.35] Away [2.54]
Fair Value Odds - Home [2.24] Draw [3.6] Away [3.65]

Recommended Bet: Back Hannover above fair value


Germany 2-Bundesliga
Duisburg v Ingolstadt
Saturday, February 24, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [3.15] Draw [3.25] Away [2.2]
Fair Value Odds - Home [2.46] Draw [3.35] Away [3.35]

Recommended Bet: Back Duisburg above fair value


England Premier-League
Watford v Everton
Saturday, February 24, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.14] Draw [3.2] Away [3.25]
Fair Value Odds - Home [2.94] Draw [3.6] Away [2.64]

Recommended Bet: Back Everton above fair value


France Ligue-1
Toulouse v Monaco
Saturday, February 24, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [4] Draw [3.5] Away [1.85]
Fair Value Odds - Home [8] Draw [4.6] Away [1.52]

Recommended Bet: Back Monaco above fair value


France Ligue-1
Guingamp v Metz
Saturday, February 24, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [1.9] Draw [3.35] Away [4]
Fair Value Odds - Home [1.66] Draw [4] Away [6.8]

Recommended Bet: Back Guingamp above fair value


Netherlands Eredivisie
Heracles v Zwolle
Saturday, February 24, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.6] Draw [3.5] Away [2.4]
Fair Value Odds - Home [2.12] Draw [3.8] Away [3.8]

Recommended Bet: Back Heracles above fair value


Germany 2-Bundesliga
Bochum v Nurnberg
Sunday, February 25, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [2.44] Draw [3.15] Away [2.8]
Fair Value Odds - Home [3.3] Draw [3.55] Away [2.4]

Recommended Bet: Back Nurnberg above fair value


Italy Serie-A
AS Roma v AC Milan
Sunday, February 25, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home [1.85] Draw [3.5] Away [3.9]
Fair Value Odds - Home [1.54] Draw [4.5] Away [8]

Recommended Bet: Back AS Roma above fair value

Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex


Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 330 pts
Returned: 355.12 pts
Profit: 25.12 pts or 108% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 141 pts
Returned: 135.42 pts
Profit: (5.58) pts or 96% ROI

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