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European Football Tips: Roma to extend good recent run against Milan

European Football Tips: Roma to extend good recent run against Milan

Published on 22 Feb 2018 at 17:42

AS Roma celebrate — La Lupa (the she-wolf) entertain Milan at Olympic Stadium

This weeks Best Bet: Back AS Roma to win above a fair value of 1.54 (currently available at 1.84/5)

Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers...

Germany Bundesliga
Hannover v B. Monchengladbach
Saturday, February 24, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.546/4 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 2.546/4
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.245/4 Draw 3.613/5 Away 3.6553/20

Recommended Bet: Back Hannover above fair value

Germany 2-Bundesliga
Duisburg v Ingolstadt
Saturday, February 24, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.1511/5 Draw 3.259/4 Away 2.26/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.466/4 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 3.3512/5

Recommended Bet: Back Duisburg above fair value

England Premier-League
Watford v Everton
Saturday, February 24, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.1411/10 Draw 3.211/5 Away 3.259/4
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.942/1 Draw 3.613/5 Away 2.6413/8

Recommended Bet: Back Everton above fair value

France Ligue-1
Toulouse v Monaco
Saturday, February 24, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 43/1 Draw 3.55/2 Away 1.855/6
Fair Value Odds - Home 87/1 Draw 4.67/2 Away 1.528/15

Recommended Bet: Back Monaco above fair value

France Ligue-1
Guingamp v Metz
Saturday, February 24, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.910/11 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 43/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.664/6 Draw 43/1 Away 6.86/1

Recommended Bet: Back Guingamp above fair value

Netherlands Eredivisie
Heracles v Zwolle
Saturday, February 24, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.68/5 Draw 3.55/2 Away 2.47/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.1211/10 Draw 3.814/5 Away 3.814/5

Recommended Bet: Back Heracles above fair value

Germany 2-Bundesliga
Bochum v Nurnberg
Sunday, February 25, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.447/5 Draw 3.1511/5 Away 2.89/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.39/4 Draw 3.5551/20 Away 2.47/5

Recommended Bet: Back Nurnberg above fair value

Italy Serie-A
AS Roma v AC Milan
Sunday, February 25, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.855/6 Draw 3.55/2 Away 3.929/10
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.548/15 Draw 4.57/2 Away 87/1

Recommended Bet: Back AS Roma above fair value

Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex

Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 330 pts
Returned: 355.12 pts
Profit: 25.12 pts or 108% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 141 pts
Returned: 135.42 pts
Profit: (5.58) pts or 96% ROI

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.