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European Value Tips: Back Villarreal to conquer Espanyol

European Value Tips: Back Villarreal to conquer Espanyol

Published on 15 Feb 2018 at 16:28

Villarreal are enjoying a fruitful La Liga campaign

This week's Best Bet: Back Heidenheim to win above fair value 2-1 at 3.55/2

Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers...

Germany 2-Bundesliga
Heidenheim v Bochum
Friday, February 16, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.47/5 Draw 3.1511/5 Away 2.915/8
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.0621/20 Draw 3.613/5 Away 4.216/5

Recommended Bet: Back Heidenheim above fair value

Austria Bundesliga
Mattersburg v Austria Vienna
Saturday, February 17, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.1411/10 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 3.211/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.55/2 Draw 3.814/5 Away 2.226/5

Recommended Bet: Back Austria Vienna above fair value

Turkey Super Lig
Antalyaspor v Kayserispor
Saturday, February 17, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.77/4 Draw 3.185/40 Away 2.56/4
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.186/5 Draw 3.613/5 Away 3.814/5

Recommended Bet: Back Antalyaspor above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Benevento v Crotone
Sunday, February 18, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.56/4 Draw 3.052/1 Away 2.89/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.613/5 Draw 3.39/4 Away 2.3611/8

Recommended Bet: Back Crotone above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Atalanta v Fiorentina
Sunday, February 18, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.3411/8 Draw 3.1511/5 Away 2.942/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.9310/11 Draw 3.8514/5 Away 4.67/2

Recommended Bet: Back Atalanta above fair value

Italy Serie-A
AC Milan v Sampdoria
Sunday, February 18, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.75/7 Draw 3.7511/4 Away 4.57/2
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.226/5 Draw 3.6553/20 Away 3.613/5

Recommended Bet: Back Sampdoria above fair value

Netherlands Eredivisie
Twente v Sparta Rotterdam
Sunday, February 18, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 21/1 Draw 3.55/2 Away 3.3512/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.758/11 Draw 4.216/5 Away 5.49/2

Recommended Bet: Back Twente above fair value

Spain Primera-Division
Espanyol v Villarreal
Sunday, February 18, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.447/5 Draw 3.052/1 Away 2.915/8
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.953/1 Draw 3.1511/5 Away 2.3411/8

Recommended Bet: Back Villarreal above fair value

Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex

Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 330 pts
Returned: 355.12 pts
Profit: 25.12 pts or 108% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 141 pts
Returned: 135.42 pts
Profit: (5.58) pts or 96% ROI

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.