European Value Tips: Back Villarreal to conquer Espanyol

Villarreal are enjoying a fruitful La Liga campaign
Villarreal are enjoying a fruitful La Liga campaign

Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers...

This week's Best Bet: Back Heidenheim to win above fair value 2-1 at 3.55/2

Germany 2-Bundesliga
Heidenheim v Bochum
Friday, February 16, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.47/5 Draw 3.1511/5 Away 2.915/8
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.0621/20 Draw 3.613/5 Away 4.216/5

Recommended Bet: Back Heidenheim above fair value


Austria Bundesliga
Mattersburg v Austria Vienna
Saturday, February 17, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.1411/10 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 3.211/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.55/2 Draw 3.814/5 Away 2.226/5

Recommended Bet: Back Austria Vienna above fair value


Turkey Super Lig
Antalyaspor v Kayserispor
Saturday, February 17, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.77/4 Draw 3.185/40 Away 2.56/4
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.186/5 Draw 3.613/5 Away 3.814/5

Recommended Bet: Back Antalyaspor above fair value


Italy Serie-A
Benevento v Crotone
Sunday, February 18, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.56/4 Draw 3.052/1 Away 2.89/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.613/5 Draw 3.39/4 Away 2.3611/8

Recommended Bet: Back Crotone above fair value


Italy Serie-A
Atalanta v Fiorentina
Sunday, February 18, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.3411/8 Draw 3.1511/5 Away 2.942/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.9310/11 Draw 3.8514/5 Away 4.67/2

Recommended Bet: Back Atalanta above fair value


Italy Serie-A
AC Milan v Sampdoria
Sunday, February 18, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.75/7 Draw 3.7511/4 Away 4.57/2
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.226/5 Draw 3.65 Away 3.613/5

Recommended Bet: Back Sampdoria above fair value


Netherlands Eredivisie
Twente v Sparta Rotterdam
Sunday, February 18, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 21/1 Draw 3.55/2 Away 3.3512/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.758/11 Draw 4.216/5 Away 5.49/2

Recommended Bet: Back Twente above fair value


Spain Primera-Division
Espanyol v Villarreal
Sunday, February 18, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.447/5 Draw 3.052/1 Away 2.915/8
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.953/1 Draw 3.1511/5 Away 2.3411/8

Recommended Bet: Back Villarreal above fair value


Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex


Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 330 pts
Returned: 355.12 pts
Profit: 25.12 pts or 108% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 141 pts
Returned: 135.42 pts
Profit: (5.58) pts or 96% ROI

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