Perfomance Index

European Football Tips: Eight value bets from across the continent's top divisions

  • Published on
Falcao has 20 goals in all competitions
Falcao has 20 goals in all competitions

This week's Best Bet:

Recommended Bet: Back Monaco to win above a fair value 11-4(Currently trading at 4.2016/5)

In his latest look at the best bets from across the top European leagues, stats man Walter Toner once again finds value with Monaco ahead of their visit to Marseille...

Germany 2-Bundesliga
Regensburg v Ingolstadt
Friday January 26, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.6553/20 Draw 3.412/5 Away 1.9520/21
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.962/1 Draw 3.4549/20 Away 2.77/4

Recommended Bet: Back Regensburg above fair value

France Ligue-1
Metz v Nice
Saturday January 27, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.211/5 Draw 3.259/4 Away 2.26/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 4.47/2 Draw 3.814/5 Away 1.9620/21

Recommended Bet: Back Nice above fair value

Spain Primera-Division
Malaga v Girona
Saturday January 27, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.47/5 Draw 3.052/1 Away 32/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.185/40 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 2.6413/8

Recommended Bet: Back Girona above fair value

Spain Primera-Division
Villarreal v Real Sociedad
Saturday January 27, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.111/10 Draw 3.412/5 Away 3.211/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.738/11 Draw 4.03/1 Away 5.85/1

Recommended Bet: Back Villarreal above fair value

France Ligue-1
Marseille v Monaco
Sunday January 28, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.834/5 Draw 3.6553/20 Away 4.131/10
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.77/4 Draw 3.814/5 Away 2.747/4

Recommended Bet: Back Monaco above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Crotone v Cagliari
Sunday January 28, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.35/4 Draw 3.052/1 Away 3.185/40
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.8415/8 Draw 3.412/5 Away 2.829/5

Recommended Bet: Back Cagliari above fair value

Italy Serie-A
Genoa v Udinese
Sunday January 28, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.1411/10 Draw 3.185/40 Away 3.412/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.02/1 Draw 3.39/4 Away 2.747/4

Recommended Bet: Back Udinese above fair value

Spain Segunda-Division
Huesca v Osasuna
Sunday January 28, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.1411/10 Draw 2.942/1 Away 3.4549/20
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.865/6 Draw 3.613/5 Away 5.69/2

Recommended Bet: Back Huesca above fair value

Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex


Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 307 pts
Returned: 333.1 pts
Profit: 26.1 pts or 108% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 118 pts
Returned: 113.4 pts
Profit: (4.6) pts or 96% ROI

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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