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European Football Tips: Home form makes Wednesday value against top-of-the-table Wolves

European Football Tips: Home form makes Wednesday value against top-of-the-table Wolves

Published on 14 Dec 2017 at 17:50

Carlos is wringing his hand in anticipation of knocking Wolves down a peg

Walter's most intriguing long shot of the weekend;

Recommended Bet: Back Sheffield Wednesday above a fair value 5-2

Sheffield Wednesday look an attractive bet at around 7/2 for Friday's match-up with Wolves at Hillsborough with very consistent home form potentially enough to cool off red-hot visitors...

Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers from around Europe.

Germany 2-Bundesliga
Union Berlin v Ingolstadt
Friday, December 15, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.747/4 Draw 3.259/4 Away 2.447/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.1411/10 Draw 3.6553/20 Away 3.8514/5

Recommended Bet: Back Union Berlin above fair value

England Championship
Sheffield Wed v Wolves
Friday, December 15, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.412/5 Draw 3.211/5 Away 2.0421/20
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.3611/8 Draw 3.39/4 Away 3.711/4

Recommended Bet: Back Sheffield Wed above fair value

Germany Bundesliga
1. FC Koln v Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 16, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.55/2 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 21/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.486/4 Draw 3.412/5 Away 3.55/2

Recommended Bet: Back 1. FC Koln above fair value

England Premier-League
Leicester v Crystal Palace
Saturday, December 16, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.855/6 Draw 3.412/5 Away 43/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.4740/85 Draw 4.84/1 Away 9.6017/2

Recommended Bet: Back Leicester above fair value

France Ligue-1
Caen v Guingamp
Saturday, December 16, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.111/10 Draw 3.211/5 Away 3.55/2
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.8815/8 Draw 3.211/5 Away 2.962/1

Recommended Bet: Back Guingamp above fair value

Austria Bundesliga
Austria Vienna v Sturm Graz
Sunday, December 17, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.942/1 Draw 3.412/5 Away 2.245/4
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.245/4 Draw 3.814/5 Away 3.55/2

Recommended Bet: Back Austria Vienna above fair value

Germany Bundesliga
Hannover v Bayer Leverkusen
Sunday, December 17, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.8514/5 Draw 3.6553/20 Away 1.855/6
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.747/4 Draw 3.613/5 Away 2.767/4

Recommended Bet: Back Hannover above fair value

Spain Primera-Division
Celta Vigo v Villarreal
Sunday, December 17, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.35/4 Draw 3.39/4 Away 2.915/8
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.259/4 Draw 3.55/2 Away 2.466/4

Recommended Bet: Back Villarreal above fair value

Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex

Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 275 pts
Returned: 291.7 pts
Profit: 15.4 pts or 106% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered:86 pts
Returned: 72.34 pts
Profit: (13.7) pts or 84% ROI

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.