Perfomance Index

European Football Tips: Reds look vulnerable on trip to King Power

  • Published on
The Foxes will look to Vardy to lead them against Liverpool
The Foxes will look to Vardy to lead them against Liverpool

"Liverpool return to the King Power Stadium for a second time in four days, and Leicester's Foxes will be hungry for another chance against the slumping Merseysiders, after a 2-0 win in the Carabao Cup on Wednesday"


After an auspicious first season contributing to Betting Betfair, logging a tasty 17% profit for the season, Walter Toner returns to once again scour the major European football leagues looking for value bet...

Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers...



Austria Bundesliga
Lask Linz v Mattersburg
Saturday, September 23, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.910/11 Draw 3.4549/20 Away 3.929/10
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.574/7 Draw 4.216/5 Away 8.007/1

Recommended Bet
Back Lask Linz above fair value


England Premier-League
Leicester v Liverpool
Saturday, September 23, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.929/10 Draw 3.613/5 Away 1.834/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.982/1 Draw 3.6553/20 Away 2.546/4

Recommended Bet
Back Leicester above fair value


France Ligue-1
Caen v Amiens
Saturday, September 23, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.855/6 Draw 3.259/4 Away 4.216/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.35/4 Draw 3.412/5 Away 3.814/5

Recommended bet
Back Amiens above fair value


Italy Serie-A
Juventus v Torino
Saturday, September 23, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.42/5 Draw 4.67/2 Away 6.86/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.222/9 Draw 8.415/2 Away 16.015/1


Recommended Bet
Back Juventus above fair value



Germany Bundesliga
Vfb Stuttgart v FC Augsburg
Saturday, September 23, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.0421/20 Draw 3.412/5 Away 3.412/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.8815/8 Draw 3.55/2 Away 2.767/4


Recommended Bet
Back FC Augsburg above fair value



Germany Bundesliga
Hoffenheim v Schalke
Saturday, September 23, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.26/5 Draw 3.412/5 Away 3.052/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.75/7 Draw 4.216/5 Away 5.805/1


Recommended Bet
Back Hoffenheim above fair value


Netherlands Eredivisie
Venlo v Zwolle
Sunday, September 24, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.245/4 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 32/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.991/1 Draw 3.953/1 Away 4.03/1


Recommended Bet
Back Venlo above fair value



France Ligue-1
St Etienne v Rennes
Sunday, September 24, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.0421/20 Draw 3.1511/5 Away 3.6553/20
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.834/5 Draw 3.55/2 Away 6.005/1


Recommended Bet
Back St Etienne above fair value



Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex



2016/17 Final P/L (1 pt each bet)
Wagered: 181 pts
Returned: 211.5 pts
Profit: 30.5 pts or 117% ROI

2017/2018 P/L (1 pt each bet)
Wagered: 15 pts
Returned: 15.8 pts
Profit: 0.8 pts or ROI 105%

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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