World Cup Qualifying gets back underway in the CONCACAF section tonight and Paul Robinson is expecting at least three goals when USA take on Mexico.
"The hosts have won their last three qualifying games to an aggregate score of 14-0 and while they face much tougher opposition today, it shows that they have goals in them."
USA v Mexico
Saturday November 12, 01:01 GMT
It's safe to assume that a lot of the talk about this match will be about politics rather than the football itself but it's the action on the field that I'm interested in tonight as there is value to be had in opposing under 2.5 goals.
The hosts have won their last three qualifying games to an aggregate score of 14-0 and while they face much tougher opposition today, it shows that they have goals in them.
The Mexicans had plenty of wins recently themselves and their sole defeat in their last 27 outings was a 7-0 hammering at the hands of a rampant, Chile.
It's also worth considering that Mexico haven't failed to score on the road since the middle of 2015 and seven of their last nine away from home have seen under 2.5 layers collect.
There's a decent chance of them extending that record in Ohio tonight, so with under 2.5 goals trading at around the 1.794/5 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.
Lay Under 2.5 goals in USA v Mexico @ 1.794/5
2016/17 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 76 pts
Returned: 75.55 pts
P/L: -0.45 pts