Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest Tip - Back Anderson fouls in semi-final scrap
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Thursday 7 May, 20:00 kick-off
Europa League semi-final
First Leg: 0-1
Live on HBO Max & TNT Sports 1
It was tight as expected last week with just Chris Wood's penalty the difference, now Forest have something to hang on to and are 4/61.67 favourites to qualify for the Europa League final.
Villa are 8/111.73 to win the game in 90 minutes, as they've done in all six Europa League home games this season, while a draw, which is all Forest need, is priced at 11/43.75.
Unai Emery's form in the competition is undeniable but Villa have just seemingly hit a wall of late while Forest are flying, so I fancy the Tricky Trees to battle their way into the final somehow.
It shouldn't be a goalfest though and something similar to last week wouldn't be a surprise, so we'll go low on goals while adding Elliott Anderson to be heavily involved in the foul count. He's given away 78 fouls and been fouled 106 times so a combo looks the best bet.
Back under 2.5 goals and Anderson 5+ foul involvements
Now read Jimmy The Punt's match preview of Villa v Forest featuring a 12/113.00 tip!
Freiburg v Braga Tip: Germans well fancied to win second leg
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Thursday 7 May, 20:00 kick-off
Europa League semi-final
First Leg: 1-2
Live on TNT Sports 3 & HBO Max
Braga have lost just once in nine so they're 13/201.65 to make the final after edging ahead in Portugal last week, but while they're Europa League record is sound they have lost four of the last 10 away from home so this is still in the balance.
And while Freiburg are in a bit of a slump they've been stellar at home in this competition with 10 straight wins, seven coming with a clean sheet. They're 3/41.75 to win the second leg and 6/52.20 to overturn the deficit and make the final.
The Germans have averaged 2.8 goals a game during their current home winning streak, while Braga have scored in seven of eight competitive away games both teams to score at 9/101.90
This has a look of extra time about it, either side to win there is 9/25.50 but I'll just got for a home win and goals for both sides - whether that's enough for Frieburg is too close to call.
Back Freiburg to win the leg in 90 minutes
Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk Tip - 17/102.70 Eagles to finish the job
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Thursday 7 May, 20:00 kick-off
Conference League semi-final
First Leg: 3-1
Live on HBO Max & TNT Sports 2
Ismaila Sarr delivered for Palace, and landed a 9/25.50 shot for us in last week's tips with a first-minute goal, but it was the two later ones that has the Eagles with one foot in the final - although odds of 1/2001.01 to qualify means they're all-but there.
And even though they don't need to, I'd expect Oliver Glasner's men to go out and win the game as 4/71.57 match favourites as Shakhtar have to go all-out to try and get back in the tie - but a 4/15.00 price just on an away win shows you how near impossible their task is.
An early Shakhtar goal changes things of course, but Palace are unbeaten in five home games in Europe, while in all competitions they're seven unbeaten at Selhurst Park with six of those matches seeing them keep a clean sheet.
And that'll be the order of the day from Glasner - make it a nice boring defensive display and if they score first that's the tie done and dusted.
Back Crystal Palace to win to nil
Strasbourg v Rayo Vallecano Tip - Back Chilwell in 3/14.00 Bet Builder pick
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Thursday 7 May, 20:00 kick-off
Conference League semi-final
First Leg: 0-1
Live on TNT Sports Extra & HBO Max
Strasbourg have lost four of their last five, and their last three on the spin at home, but they're 17/201.85 match favourites in this second leg and are unbeaten in the Conference League on home turf.
They also overturned a 2-0 deficit in the last round with a 4-0 win over Mainz, so 3/14.00 match outsiders Rayo Vallecano need to be on their guard with just a slender one-goal lead from the first leg. After all, they beat AEK Athens 3-0 in the first leg of the quarters before having to hang on when losing the second leg 3-1.
Rayo's five Conference League away games saw both teams score and that's 3/41.75 here, but Strasbourg will have to improve from last week's zero shots on target from just five attempts.
Rayo hit the target eight times from 24 efforts so should've scored more really, and even though they're away from home they'll be a danger.
It's a Strasbourg Bet Builder for us though, with Ben Chilwell giving away three fouls in the first leg and Rayo could well dominate possession again putting pressure on him, while goalkeeper Mike Penders made seven saves in Spain and should be busy even playing at home.
Back Chilwell 2+ fouls and Strasbourg keeper 3+ saves