UEFA Europa Conference League

Conference League Final Tips: Back 5/1 Sarr to strike for Palace and this 8/1 Bet Builder in Leipzig

  • Paul Higham
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 3:00 min read
Image for Betfair preview of the Euopa Conference League final with three tips
Paul is backing Palace for more silverware

Paul Higham is backing Crystal Palace to win the Conference League final with 5/16.00 Ismaila Sarr doing the damage against Rayo Vallecano - while he's picked out an 8/19.00 Bet Builder worth following in Leipzig.

Click here for Crystal Palace v Rayo Vallecano odds
Wednesday 27 May, 20:00 kick-off
Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Live on TNT Sports 1

Palace to prove too strong in final

Oliver Glasner's Crystal Palace are big 9/201.45 favourites to life the Conference League trophy in Leipzig and send their manager off with yet another trophy.

And so they should be, as Premier League teams have a huge advantage in this, and the Europa League to an extent, now that most decent European sides play just in the Champions League. We've had back-to-back Europa League winners from England and both West Ham and Chelsea have won this in the last three years.

Palace have still done brilliantly to reach a final in their first foray into a major European competition, but with a far more expensive squad with more depth of talent, and one that was largely rested at the weekend, Glasner will want his 10/111.91 shots to win it in 90 minutes.

Spanish outsiders unbeaten in nine European games

Rayo are also appearing in their first European final and arrive in Germany unbeaten in nine having just finished eighth in La Liga. So they're not without a chance as 16/54.20 match outsiders and priced up at 9/52.80 to win the trophy.

The Madrid side haven't seen too many goals in their games - only one of five in the Coference League saw both teams score while only one in seven in all competitions has contained over 2.5 goals - so there's a chance it could be one of those tight, nervy finals.

But Glasner won the Europa League with Eintracht Frankfurt, while also winning last season's FA Cup, so has that big-game knowhow, and coupled with the talent gap and the rest he got for most of his top players on Sunday, the Eagles really should be winning this.

Palace have only one clean sheet in 10 though, while Rayo have bagged in 12 of their past 13 and in 13 of 14 total outings in the Conference League this season, so expect them to score even in a losing cause.


Super Sarr to strike again

I'd consider backing Palace/Palace in the HT/FT market too as the Eagles have been fast starters in the Conference League this season, while they're also 6/52.20 to score the first goal in the first half.

In terms of scorers, Ismaila Sarr is the main man here without question, with a goal in five straight Conference League games he'll make history if he goes six in a row in the final. He's 15/82.88 anytime scorer in Leipzig.

Ismaïla Sarr

28 appearances for Crystal Palace this season

Goals

9

Assists

1

Shots

48

Shots per 90

2

Shots on Target

21

Shots on Target per 90

0.9

Chances Created

19

Chances Created per 90

0.8

Passes

474

Passes per 90

19.6

Yellow Cards

2

Red Cards

0

Fouls

12

Fouls per 90

0.5

Fouls Won

42

Fouls Won per 90

1.7

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Four of Sarr's last six goals in the competition have been the first of the match though so he's worth taking for first goalscorer at a healthy 5/16.00 given his form and credentials.

Alemao scored both Rayo's goals in their two 1-0 wins over Strasbourg in the semi-finals, while he's scored in five of his last eight appearances overall. Only four of those have been starts but he'll get the nod in Leipzig and will be Vallecano's main threat.

Alemao is a 7/24.50 anytime scorer.


Back 8/19.00 stats Bet Builder in Leipzig

A Bet Builder is always worth a look in a big final, and one player prop that stands out is the 9/52.80 on Maxence Lacroix to give away 2+ fouls against Rayo.

Lacroix has given away multiple fouls in seven Conference League games this season, with six of those being away games, which this will be similar too even if Palace fans make it feel almost like Selhurst Park.

The aforementioned Alemao has nine shots on target in nine games so even though he may not score he should test the keeper at 5/61.84 for just 1+ shot on target, which is a worthy leg in any Bet Builder.

Florian Lejeune has given away a foul in each of Rayo's last six Conference League games, with two fouls conceded in three of those.

He'll have his hands full containing Palace's runners so 5/61.84 for 2+ more fouls here looks a nice bet.


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