England

England v Senegal: Opta stats and three to back on Tuesday

  • Max Liu
  • 3:00 min read
England football badge
England host Senegal in a friendly on Tuesday

England's play Senegal in a friendly on Tuesday and, while the home win is heavy-odds-on at the City Ground, here are three routes to value based on the Opta stats...


Tip 1 - Back England to win and under 3.5 goals

England have never lost in 21 matches against African opposition (W15 D6), winning their only previous meeting with Senegal 3-0 in the 2022 FIFA World Cup. Meanwhile, Senegal have won just one of their last seven matches against European nations (D3 L3). 

That said, Senegal are unbeaten in their last 23 matches in all competitions (W16 D7), and England struggled to beat Andorra 1-0 on Saturday, so is there reason to oppose the home win? The visitors don't concede many - before Saturday's 1-1 draw, they have recorded seven consecutive clean sheets - so they may be able to keep it tight here. Backing Tuchel's Chelsea to win matches featuring under 3.5 goals was a popular bet a few years ago and we will give it a spin here.


Tip 2 - Back teams to be level at half-time

England are yet to concede under Tuchel, in the three matches since his reign began. In fact, England have kept a clean sheet in each of their last five fixtures, so backing them to win without conceding is an appealing option again.

They took a long time to get going, however, against Andorra and this Senegal defence may be able to get to half-time without conceding.


Tip 3 - Back Kane to strike

Harry Kane has scored in all three of those games under Tuchel. The England thrived when playing for Tuchel at Bayern Munich and we can see him getting on the scoresheet again on Tuesday. He got the second goal when England beat Senegal at the World Cup in 2022. 

The home crowd, meanwhile, would love to see one of their own make an impact. Morgan Gibbs-White registered 10 assists for Nottingham Forest in the Premier League this season. He was an unused substitute on Saturday so we can expect to see him at some point here.


Now read Club World Cup 2025: Your group-by-group guide to the tournament


Recommended bets

New Customers can get £50 in free bets!

Available to new customers only. Place a £10 bet on the Betfair Sportsbook and you will receive £50 in free bets to use on Bet Builders and Accas! Opt-in here and T&cs apply.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.