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Biden favourite despite problems at home and abroad</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/max-liu/">Max Liu</a></li> <li><time datetime="2021-08-18">18 August 2021</time></li> <li>3:00 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "Article", "headline": "Who will win US Election 2024? Biden favourite despite problems at home and abroad", "name": "Who will win US Election 2024? Biden favourite despite problems at home and abroad", "description": "Joe Biden is still favourite to win the US presidential election in 2024 even as he faces his biggest challenges yet in the White House, says Max Liu...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/us-politics/who-will-win-us-election-2024-biden-favourite-despite-problems-at-home-and-abroad-180821-204.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/us-politics/who-will-win-us-election-2024-biden-favourite-despite-problems-at-home-and-abroad-180821-204.html", "datePublished": "2021-08-18T11:22:00+01:00", "dateModified": "2021-08-18T14:39:00+01:00", "thumbnailURL": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Joe Biden US flag behind 1280.320x180.jpg", "articleBody": "Joe Biden is still favourite to win the US presidential election in 2024 even as he faces his biggest challenges yet in the White House, says Max Liu... Joe Biden is enduring the most difficult few weeks of his presidency with the delta variant of Covid-19 spreading in the US and his administration under fire for the withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan. The fall out from the latter has been catastrophic, with the Taliban deposing the elected government and retaking power in Afghanistan. Commentators have called it "humiliating" for the US and compared it to their retreat from Vietnam in 1973. The former threatens to cause more misery for Americans, who thought the pandemic was behind them, and damage Biden's credibility at home. And yet, on the Exchange, Biden is still the favourite to be re-elected when Americans go to the polls in 2024. Biden is [4.4] to win the next presidential election while his vice president Kamala Harris is [7.4]. Biden's honeymoon is over With his ambitious spending plans, and the successful roll out of the coronavirus vaccines, Biden made a strong start to his tenure in the White House. His critics on the right were never far away, though, and they have been quick to exploit his problems of late. This week the Telegraph claimed: "The Afghan debacle will destroy the Biden presidency." The US's withdrawal from Afghanistan was criticised by MPs on both sides of the UK parliament when they debated it this week. All of this comes with the caveat that it was Biden's predecessor, Donald Trump, who made the decision to withdraw. But it happened on Biden's watch and that is often all that matters. Trump is expected to run in '24 and is favourite to win the Republican nomination. He's [3.45] while Nikki Haley [9.0] is his nearest rival in the market. That said, while many bettors have put money on a Biden v Trump rematch in three years, there is no guarantee that either man will run. First up, will be mid-term elections next year when Republicans will look to regain control of the Senate and hamper Biden in the remainder of his first term. Time to turn his presidency around There was speculation even before Biden became president that, like Lyndon Johnson in the 1960s, he would not seek a second term. He'll be 81 at the next US election. Will he really want to subject himself to a second gruelling campaign? If not then Kamala Harris would be the obvious candidate and, at [3.3], she's marginally longer than Biden [3.1] in the Democratic nominee betting. The good news for Biden backers is that there's a long way to go. He has time to turn it around. The wisdom that comes with age means he won't panic and he showed in the 2020 Democratic primaries that he's up for a comeback. Remember, he was backed at 99/1 before he brought his campaign back from the brink, won the nomination and went on to take the White House. ", "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Joe%20Biden%20US%20flag%20behind%201280.jpg", "height": 720, "width": 1280 }, "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/_v2/img/betfairlogoblack.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": "Max Liu" } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Joe Biden US flag behind 1280.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Joe Biden US flag behind 1280.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Joe Biden US flag behind 1280.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Joe Biden US flag behind 1280.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="US president Joe Biden"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Joe Biden will be 81 at the next US presidential election</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.176878927" data-contextual_info='{"blog_name":"Politics Betting Tips & Predictions","category_label":"US Politics","market_id":"https:\/\/www.betfair.com\/exchange\/plus\/politics\/market\/1.176878927","entry_title":"Who will win US Election 2024? Biden favourite despite problems at home and abroad"}' href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.176878927">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=Who%20will%20win%20US%20Election%202024%3F%20Biden%20favourite%20despite%20problems%20at%20home%20and%20abroad&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fus-politics%2Fwho-will-win-us-election-2024-biden-favourite-despite-problems-at-home-and-abroad-180821-204.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fus-politics%2Fwho-will-win-us-election-2024-biden-favourite-despite-problems-at-home-and-abroad-180821-204.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/submit/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fus-politics%2Fwho-will-win-us-election-2024-biden-favourite-despite-problems-at-home-and-abroad-180821-204.html" target="_blank" title="Reddit"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--reddit">Reddit</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--whatsapp"> <a href="https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fus-politics%2Fwho-will-win-us-election-2024-biden-favourite-despite-problems-at-home-and-abroad-180821-204.html" target="_blank" title="WhatsApp"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--whatsapp">WhatsApp</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--telegram"> <a href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fus-politics%2Fwho-will-win-us-election-2024-biden-favourite-despite-problems-at-home-and-abroad-180821-204.html&text=Who%20will%20win%20US%20Election%202024%3F%20Biden%20favourite%20despite%20problems%20at%20home%20and%20abroad" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p>Joe Biden is still favourite to win the US presidential election in 2024 even as he faces his biggest challenges yet in the White House, says Max Liu...</p></div> <div class="entry_body__quote"> <blockquote><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.178163685">If he doesn't seek relection then Kamala Harris would be the obvious candidate - at <b class="inline_odds" title="9/4"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.3</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">9/4</span></b> she's marginally longer than Biden <b class="inline_odds" title="85/40"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.1</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">85/40</span></b> in the Democratic nominee betting.</a></p></blockquote> </div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <p><strong>Joe Biden is enduring the most difficult few weeks of his presidency</strong> with the delta variant of Covid-19 spreading in the US and his administration under fire for the withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan. <p>The fall out from the latter has been catastrophic, with the Taliban deposing the elected government and retaking power in Afghanistan. Commentators have called it "humiliating" for the US and compared it to their retreat from Vietnam in 1973.</p><p>The former threatens to cause more misery for Americans, who thought the pandemic was behind them, and damage Biden's credibility at home. </p><p>And yet, on the Exchange, Biden is still the <strong>favourite to be re-elected</strong> when Americans go to the polls in 2024.</p><blockquote><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.176878927">Biden is <b class="inline_odds" title="7/2"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">4.4</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">7/2</span></b> to win the next presidential election while his vice president Kamala Harris is <b class="inline_odds" title="13/2"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">7.4</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">13/2</span></b></a>.</blockquote><p><strong><h2>Biden's honeymoon is over</h2></strong></p><p>With his ambitious spending plans, and the successful roll out of the coronavirus vaccines, Biden made a strong start to his tenure in the White House. </p><p>His critics on the right were never far away, though, and they have been quick to exploit his problems of late. This week the Telegraph claimed: <a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/08/17/afghan-debacle-will-destroy-biden-presidency/">"The Afghan debacle will destroy the Biden presidency."</a> </p><p>The US's withdrawal from Afghanistan was criticised by MPs on both sides of the UK parliament when they debated it this week. </p><p>All of this comes with the caveat that it was Biden's predecessor, <strong>Donald Trump</strong>, who made the decision to withdraw. But it happened on Biden's watch and that is often all that matters. </p><p><strong>Trump</strong> is expected to run in '24 and is favourite to win the Republican nomination. He's <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.178163916">3.45</a> while <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.178163916">Nikki Haley <b class="inline_odds" title="8/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">9.0</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">8/1</span></b></a> is his nearest rival in the market. </p><p><img alt="Trump at lectern 1280.jpg" src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Trump%20at%20lectern%201280.600x338.jpg" width="1280" height="720" class="mt-image-none" style="" loading="lazy"></p><p>That said, while many bettors have put money on a <strong>Biden v Trump rematch</strong> in three years, there is no guarantee that either man will run.</p><p>First up, will be <strong>mid-term elections</strong> next year when Republicans will look to <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.179673535">regain control of the Senate</a> and hamper Biden in the remainder of his first term. </p><p><strong><h2>Time to turn his presidency around</h2></strong></p><p>There was speculation even before Biden became president that, like Lyndon Johnson in the 1960s, he would not seek a second term. He'll be <strong>81 at the next US election</strong>. Will he really want to subject himself to a second gruelling campaign?</p><blockquote><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.178163685">If not then Kamala Harris would be the obvious candidate and, at <b class="inline_odds" title="9/4"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.3</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">9/4</span></b>, she's marginally longer than Biden <b class="inline_odds" title="85/40"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.1</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">85/40</span></b> in the Democratic nominee betting.</a></blockquote><p><img alt="Kamala Harris 956.jpg" src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Kamala%20Harris%20956.600x338.jpg" width="956" height="538" class="mt-image-none" style="" loading="lazy"></p><p>The good news for Biden backers is that there's a long way to go. </p><p>He has time to turn it around. The wisdom that comes with age means he won't panic and he showed in the 2020 Democratic primaries that he's up for a comeback. </p><p>Remember, he was backed at <strong>99/1</strong> before he brought his campaign back from the brink, won the nomination and went on to take the White House. </p></p> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2>Get a £5 Free Bet on Multiples - Every Day!</h2> <p>Place £20 worth of Multiples or Bet Builders over the course of a day, and, after the bets have settled, you'll get a free £5 bet to use on Multiples or Bet Builders. Bets must settle before 23:59 on the day they're placed. 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class="live-betting"> <span id="gobet" class="gobet-anchor"></span> <article class="bet-now"> <span id="gobet-1.176878927" class="gobet-anchor"></span> <header class="bet-now__header"> <h3>USA - Presidential Election 2024: USA - Presidential Election 2024 (Election Winner)</h3> <span class="bet-slip-toggle"> <span class="bet-slip-toggle__show">Show</span> <span class="bet-slip-toggle__hide">Hide</span> </span> </header> <div class="bet-now__event"> <p>Tuesday 5 November, 11.00am</p> <p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/www/GBR/en/aboutUs/Rules.and.Regulations/">Market rules</a></p> </div> <div class="bet-now__market bet-now__market__no-user"> <table> <thead> <tr> <th></th> <th>Back</th> <th>Lay</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Donald Trump</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Donald Trump" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="4.7" data-side="back" data-selection_id="10874213">4.7</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Donald Trump" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="4.9" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="10874213">4.9</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Ron DeSantis</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Ron DeSantis" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="4.6" data-side="back" data-selection_id="30371713">4.6</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Ron DeSantis" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="4.7" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="30371713">4.7</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Joe Biden</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Joe Biden" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="8" data-side="back" data-selection_id="6816445">8</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Joe Biden" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="8.2" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="6816445">8.2</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Kamala Harris</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Kamala Harris" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="17" data-side="back" data-selection_id="12126964">17</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Kamala Harris" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="18" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="12126964">18</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Gavin Newsom</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Gavin Newsom" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="20" data-side="back" data-selection_id="14253825">20</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Gavin Newsom" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="26" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="14253825">26</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Mike Pence</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Mike Pence" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="24" data-side="back" data-selection_id="4296631">24</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Mike Pence" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="28" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="4296631">28</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Pete Buttigieg</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Pete Buttigieg" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="27" data-side="back" data-selection_id="22576023">27</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Pete Buttigieg" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="34" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="22576023">34</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Michelle Obama</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Michelle Obama" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="34" data-side="back" data-selection_id="8313395">34</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Michelle Obama" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="40" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="8313395">40</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Nikki Haley</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Nikki Haley" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="44" data-side="back" data-selection_id="6196629">44</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Nikki Haley" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="65" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="6196629">65</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Elizabeth Warren</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Elizabeth Warren" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="55" data-side="back" data-selection_id="6364522">55</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Elizabeth Warren" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="85" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="6364522">85</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Hillary Clinton</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Hillary Clinton" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="70" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1171623">70</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Hillary Clinton" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="85" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1171623">85</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Mike Pompeo</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Mike Pompeo" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="60" data-side="back" data-selection_id="17646286">60</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Mike Pompeo" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="85" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="17646286">85</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Dwayne Johnson</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Dwayne Johnson" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="55" data-side="back" data-selection_id="13052919">55</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Dwayne Johnson" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="80" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="13052919">80</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tom Cotton</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Tom Cotton" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="85" data-side="back" data-selection_id="11237943">85</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Tom Cotton" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="130" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="11237943">130</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Glenn Youngkin</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Glenn Youngkin" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="90" data-side="back" data-selection_id="41418136">90</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Glenn Youngkin" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="190" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="41418136">190</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amy Klobuchar</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Amy Klobuchar" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="90" data-side="back" data-selection_id="6886665">90</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Amy Klobuchar" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="110" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="6886665">110</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Kristi Noem</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Kristi Noem" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="120" data-side="back" data-selection_id="35506776">120</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Kristi Noem" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="340" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="35506776">340</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tucker Carlson</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Tucker Carlson" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="200" data-side="back" data-selection_id="37511437">200</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Tucker Carlson" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="330" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="37511437">330</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Michael Bloomberg</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Michael Bloomberg" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="100" data-side="back" data-selection_id="2710860">100</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Michael Bloomberg" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="180" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="2710860">180</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" data-market_id="1.176878927" data-price="110" data-side="back" data-selection_id="20036602">110</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Alexandria 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