General Election: Tories backed to lose 200+ seats after new poll shock
The odds on the Conservatives facing electoral catastrophe this year shortened again after a new poll put them on just 19% of the vote...
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Tories shorten again to lose 200+ seats
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New poll puts them on 19%
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Party as unpopular under Sunak as Truss
The Conservatives were backed in to 1.51/2 to lose 200 or more seats at the next general election after a new poll showed voters deserting the party.
They are 25 points behind Labour who look destined to win a majority at 1.18.
The YouGov poll, which was based on research conducted in the middle of last week, showed the party falling to 19% of the vote if a general election were called today.
What voters do at the ballot box and what they say will do are, of course, different things. But there is no denying that this latest polls is cause for serious concern in the Conservative Party.
The election is around evens on the Exchange to take place in October after the chancellor Jeremy Hunt this week hinted that was when the government were planning to go to the country.
The Tory vote share has now fallen to the same level as lowest point under Liz Truss, while Reform UK reach their highest score to date
-- YouGov (@YouGov) March 21, 2024
Con: 19% (-1 from 12-13 Mar)
Lab: 44% (=)
Reform UK: 15% (+1)
Lib Dem: 9% (=)
Green: 8% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)https://t.co/ttUyRxRZND pic.twitter.com/nR8mr6fx57
It will set alarm bells ringing among Tory MPs and indicates that they are losing voters to the newly-formed Reform UK party.
The pro-Brexit party have risen in the polls to their highest vote percentage yet.
Tories as unpopular under Sunak as Truss
The Conservatives are now as unpopular under Rishi Sunak as they were under Liz Truss who was forced to step down as prime minister after six weeks.
The Exchange odds indicate, however, that Sunak is safe for now and will lead the Tories into the eleciton.
He is 4.57/2 to face a confidence vote and as short as 1.182/11 to the leader come election day.
An October election will make for a busy autumn for political bettors as they weigh up elections in the UK and US where Americans will elect their next president on 5 November.
Stay up to date on the latest election odds with Betting.Betfair's politics coverage.
Now read why October is 50/50 for next election after Hunt's hint
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