US Open 2018: Five each-way plays for the Shinnecock Hills sizzler
There are eight places for Betfair punters betting each-way on the Sportsbook this week and the Betfair golf team will be putting their money on the following five...
"Garcia has finished inside the top 20 on nine occasions, inside the top 10 five times, and inside this week's pay-out places (top 8) four times. That's a very respectable record for a world-class golfer who should love this week's set-up."
*EW Terms: 1/5 Odds | 8 Places
It would be lovely to check back and find that Adam Scott was in the top 10 here in 2004. He wasn't. He missed the cut. However, that came at a time when, despite winning that year's Players Championship, his record in the majors was terrible with eight missed cuts in the first 13 and just one top 20. Since 2011, he's had a win and and 10 other top 10s at this level, including T9 (2014) and T4 (2015) in the US Open. While bringing up a young family clearly changed his priorities, he looks to have his thirst back and just qualifying for Shinnecock Hills became a mission. He succeeded - just - and now heads back to a course where he once shot a 63 off the championship tees in a casual round and has played several times over the past five years. The Aussie has been critical of recent US Open set-ups but feels they have the balance right this time. Scott has a new caddie and new coach this week and while the short-notice change could backfire, it may also help provide the added ingredients for a big week. T11 at Sawgrass, T9 at the Byron Nelson and T35 at Memorial, the 37-year-old looks a potentially very interesting option at 60/1.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Phil Mickelson @ 35/1
The stats will tell you that a 47 year-old can't win the US Open but an exception may be legitimate at Shinnecock Hills - the closest this major ever gets to a British Open. Over here, all-time legends even contend well into their fifties and older players have won several recent Opens, including Mickelson at 43. We should take note when a six-time runner-up says he's never been more pumped about a US Open venue after a quarter century of trying.
When Phil contended throughout in 1995, he was inexperienced, usually ineffective in the wind and had no pedigree with regards to links golf. When an arguably unlucky second in 2004 - three shots clear of the third - he'd just finally broken his majors duck but had still never made an Open Championship top-ten and Shinnecock was narrower than ideal. The new widened set-up is absolutely perfect and there is nobody better equipped for the scrambling challenge that I think will prove decisive. We could be in store for an unforgettable, historic weekend.
Steve Rawlings: Back Branden Grace @ 35/1
The reasons for backing Branden Grace this week are plentiful and strong. Having finished fourth in the 2015 US Open and fifth 12 months later, we know this is a major that suits him and this year's venue, Shinnecock Hills, a links style course, looks absolutely ideal. Grace is a links specialist extraordinaire. He's won the Alfred Dunhill Links, is a two-time winner of the Qatar Masters (an event that always goes the way of a fine links exponent), was beaten in a playoff by Phil Mickelson in the Scottish Open at the Castle Stuart Golf Links the week before Lefty won the Open, and like his fellow countryman, Retief Goosen, who won his second US Open here at Shinnecock in 2004, Grace is a winner at the Fancourt Golf Links in his native South Africa (Goosen has also won in Qatar). And of course, only last year Grace became the first player ever to shoot 62 at a major championship in the Open Championship at Royal Birkdale. He's in fine form, as highlighted by another 62 last month in the Byron Nelson at a similar venue to this, designed by Coore and Crenshaw, the team responsible for the recent changes to Shinnecock, and if all that wasn't enough, for Significant Birthday and Nappy Factor fans, he turned 30 on May 20, less than a month after the arrival of his first born child, a son called Roger. The stars are all aligned.
Joe Dyer: Back Shane Lowry @ 90/1
Just three years ago Shane Lowry stood on the cusp of the world's top 10 having appeared to master the art of playing both tours. That year, 2015, saw the Irishman land the top-quality WGC-Bridgestone Invitational while putting together a string of good results in the classiest tournaments on both tours. That run included a ninth-place finish in the US Open at Chambers Bay, a result he improved upon when finishing runner-up to Dustin Johnson a year later at Oakmont to confirm this as his favourite major. Behind the scenes it seems that Lowry was struggling a little with all the travelling and has now chosen to base himself in the US and results across the year do not point to a happy relocation. So why back him? Price is everything in betting and for a high-class performer who loves the event and appears to have his conditions the 90/1 is enough for me. And recent weeks have pointed to improvement in Lowry's game, starting with 15th at the BMW PGA Championship, followed by a share of first place across 36 holes of US Open qualifying and then 30th at last week's St Jude Classic. Both Lowry's US Open top-10s came on par 70 tracks - as did that WGC victory - where scoring was very tough and this year's test should be similar with the 7,445 yard par 70 Shinnecock expected to play the same. Shinnecock's linksy characteristics, exposure to wind and poa annua greens are all in my man's favour and I'm happy to play the big man at big odds.
Mike Norman: Sergio Garcia @ 50/1
Sergio Garcia missed consecutive cuts at the US Open in 2006 and 2007 but those are the only weekends the Spaniard has failed to make at the toughest of all majors in 18 attempts. In his other 16 tries at the US Open, Garcia has finished inside the top 20 on nine occasions, inside the top 10 five times, and inside this week's pay-out places (top 8) four times. That's a very respectable record for a world-class golfer who should love this week's set-up. Garcia is generally regarded as a great driver of a golf ball, and he currently ranks inside the top 10 in the PGA Tour's Total Driving statistics. What's more, as a recent winner of the US Masters we know the Spaniard can scramble well, and he's also one of the finest links exponents in the world of golf today. It's surprising then that this world number 15 is listed as far down as 20th favourite to win this week's US Open at Shinnecock Hills, a venue where - unlike most of his peers - he's contended before (went into the final round in 2004 inside the top 10). Some poor recent form is perhaps the reason for his dismissive odds, but it was only a few months back that Garcia was recording three consecutive top-10 finishes on the PGA Tour, two of which came in high-class World Golf Championship fields.
2018 Season P/L to date: +£112.00
- Italian Open, Lee Westwood @ 45/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- BMW PGA Championship, Kiradech Aphibarnrat @ 45/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- Belgian Knockout, Benjamin Hebert @ 50/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Belgian Knockout, Jorge Campillo @ 28/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Rocco Forte Open, Lucas Herbert @ 125/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Golf Sixes, South Korea @ 16/1 - PLACE (Steve & Paul)
- Volvo China Open, Lucas Bjerregaard @ 200/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- US Masters, Bubba Watson @ 16/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Hero Indian Open, Andrew Johnston @ 33/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- Oman Open, Jorge Campillo @ 40/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Maybank Championship, Shubhankar Sharma @ 60/1 - WIN (Joe)
- Dubai Desert Classic, Alex Levy @ 50/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Abu Dhabi Championship, Matthew Fitzpatrick @ 40/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- UBS Hong Kong Open, Paul Peterson @ 80/1 - PLACE (Paul)
US Open on Betfair
Come to Betfair for:
- Value: If you had a £20 bet on Patrick Reed on the Betfair Exchange at the last major, you would have returned £200 more than with other bookmakers
- Places: We’re paying 8 places until the tournament tees off
- Specials: This is the first tournament with our new scoring based specials – check them out! Example: The Cut to be +3 or lower & Any player to have a Hole in 1 @ 16/1