US Open

US Open Find Me a 100 Winner: Three long-shots to back at Shinnecock at odds from 159/1 to 329/1

  • Steven Rawlings
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Check out Steve Rawlings' big price US Open golf tips

Steve Rawlings has three massive odds selections to back at the year's third major - the US Open

US Open is a good event to back outsiders

Last year's US Open was won by 290.0289/1 chance, J.J Spaun, and he was the third long-shot to take the title in seven years.

Gary Woodland won at Pebble Beach in 2019 at odds of 110.0109/1 and Wyndham Clark was a column pick three years ago at 120.0119/1 when he won at Los Angeles Country Club, so it's been a decent major for outsiders of late and I've picked out three.

I was sorely tempted to back recent Memorial Tournament winner, J.T Poston, who has had a week off following his gutsy success at Muirfield Village.

He looks very fairly priced at 250.0249/1 but it's never easy to win back-to back so I've reluctantly left him out.

Poston's success came out of the blue and that put me off slightly but the man he beat in the playoff, Ryan Gerard, had finished 10th in the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial the week before and he's my first pick.


US Open bet #1 - Back Ryan Gerard @ 160.0159/1

The world number 23, Ryan Gerard, is a player on the up and I was quite surprised to see him trading at as high as 160.0159/1.

His sole success on the PGA Tour came in last year's Barracuda Championship, an opposite field event played in the same week as the Open Championship, but he's gone from strength to strength since.

In need of a high finish to get into the world's top 50 to secure a place in the US Masters before the end of 2025, Gerard travelled all the way to Mauritius just before Christmas and achieved his goal with an unlucky playoff defeat to Jayden Schaper.

He followed that performance with a second in the Sony Open in Hawaii and a second in the American Express so he's demonstrated an ability to hold his form once he's found it and after a week off, he could go well again here after his 10th at Colonial and his unlucky second at Muirfield Village.

Gerard had been a bit disappointing in the Charles Schawb three weeks ago, falling from second to 10th on Sunday but he's a gritty performer and that's a round I'm happy to overlook.

He finished fourth in the Cognizant Classic around the tough PGA National layout back in 2023 after Monday qualifying when still plying his trade on the Korn Ferry Tour and he was very impressive in round four two weeks ago when he was only caught on the 72nd hole when Poston made an unlikely birdie three.

An accurate driver with a great tee-to-green game, Gerard has found his touch on the greens of late, ranking number one for Strokes Gained: Putting and first and third for Putting Average in his last two starts.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1


US Open bet #2 - Back Jacob Bridgeman @ 180.0179/1

This year's Genesis Invitational victor, Jacob Bridgeman, is my second bet given he ticks a number of relevant trends boxes.

Many a Riviera winner goes on to win a major championship and although that's Bridgeman's only success to date, he also finished runner-up at PGA National last year in the Cognizant Classic, and third at Copperhead, home of the Valspar Championship, so he's shown an aptitude for tough courses and might just take to Shinnecock Hills.

The 26-year-old world number 25 putted nicely when finishing 11th in Canada last week after a slow start but that was his best effort since he finished fifth in the Players Championship so current form is a slight concern.

Bridgeman ranked first for Greens In Regulation when he won the Genesis in February, but his big strength is his putting.

He's already topped the Putting Average rankings three times this season, in the Sony Open, the Genesis and the Players Championship and he looks worth chancing at a big price.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1


US Open bet #3 - Back Dustin Johnson @ 330.0329/1

It's now 10 years since Dustin Johnson won the US Open at Oakmont and he hasn't won anywhere since he won his second major at Augusta in 2020 but I'm happy to take a small chance on the veteran at a huge price.

As highlighted in the preview, DJ led the 2018 edition of the US Open here at Shinnecock by four strokes at halfway and he was matched at just 1.75/7 on the Betfair Exchange, but his putting prowess deserted him badly over the weekend.

He used the flatstick just 53 times on Thursday and Friday but 73 times over the weekend but he was eventually beaten by just two strokes.

He also traded at odds-on back in 2010 when he led by three at Pebble Beach with 18 to play, before going on to finish eighth, and that was the first of his seven top 10 finishes so he's a bit of US Open specialist.

Veterans have fared really well at this venue and DJ arrives in fair form following back-to-back top five finishes on the LIV circuit and he wasn't awful in the US PGA Championship before that.

The 41-year-old has ranked ninth and third for Putting Average in his last two starts and he's not the forlorn hope his odds suggest he is.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1


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STEVE'S 2026 FIND ME A 100 WINNER P/L

Staked: 96.5 Us Returned: 52 Us P/L: -44.5 Us

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