Golden Boot 2022 Latest Betting: Messi 4/5 favourite after Mbappe fails against Morocco

Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi is now level with Mbappe on 5 goals

We're updating the Golden Boot odds story here following all the major news from Qatar. Lionel Messi has now scored the same number of goals as Kylian Mbappe (5), and is 4/5 to win the trophy...


Update: No change as Mbappe fails to fire

After France's 2-0 win over Morocco on Wednesday night there's no change in the goalscoring charts after both Kylian Mbappe and Olivier Giroud failed to find the net.

That means that Lionel Messi currently leads the standings on five goals alongside Mbappe, while Giroud and Julian Alvarez have four goals each.

All four players have one game remaining to claim the top honours, Sunday's World Cup final!

On the Betfair Sportsbook Messi is now the 4/5 favourite to win the Golden Boot ahead of Mbappe at 6/4, Alvarez at 16/1 and Giroud at 19/1.

Update: Messi ties Mbappe on five goals

Lionel Messi has shortened once again to win the Golden Boot following his fifth goal of the tournament against Croatia in the semi-finals on Tuesday.

Having started the tournament at 12/1, Mbappe's form has long held Messi's price over the last couple weeks, but he's now just 6/4 to win the award.

Messi also now has three assists - one more than Mbappe - which could be pivotal if both players finish on the same number of goals as assist count is used as the tie-breaker to determine the winner.

Mbappe (5) and teammate Giroud (4) face Morocco this evening as they bid to reach consecutive World Cup finals.

They are 8/11 and 9/1 respectively to win the Golden Boot.

Watch out for Julian Alvarez, too, who now has the same number of goals as Giroud (4) following his brace vs Croatia, and based on the chances Messi is creating for him, he is well in with a shout at a chunky 16/1.

Should France exit the competition this evening, the Argentine's prices will plummet.


UPDATE: Messi magic closes on Mbappe

Lionel Messi is now 7/2 to win the Golden Boot at the World Cup following yet another goal and assist as Argentina progress to the semi-final stage.

Coming into today, Messi was 12/1 before Brazil (and Richarlison) were knocked out, and Messi was backed into 15/2.

His price has come down even further following his penalty goal against Netherlands, whilst he also registered another assist, which could be vital when it comes to a potential tie-breaker - he and Mbappe are currently on two assists each.

Kylian Mbappe remains the odds-on favourite, though his price has come out slightly to 4/7.

Mbappe may only have one game left with England taking on France on Saturday.


Goncalo Ramos 20/1 following hat-trick

We are 17 days into the 2022 World Cup and we've just added a new name to the Golden Boot market - hat-trick hero Goncalo Ramos.

Ramos has become the first player to score a treble on their very first World Cup start since Miroslav Klose in 2002 - the man who holds the record for the most World Cup goals.

He is now 20/1 to win the Golden Boot, despite only one man scoring more than him at this tournament - Kylian Mbappe - who is the 8/15 favourite on five goals.

Ramos is level with Richarlison (15/2), Lionel Messi (12/1), Olivier Giroud (20/1), Marcus Rashford (30/1), Cody Gakpo (30/1) and Bukayo Saka (35/1).

Ramos' hat-trick is even more impressive with the knowledge it was his first start for his country, and was stepping into the shoes of Portugal's record goalscorer - and captain - Cristiano Ronaldo.

Ronaldo himself, who has one goal at this tournament, is 50/1, but is surely heading for another place on the bench following Ramos' performance.


Five star forward the favourite

Kylian Mbappe is the odds-on favourite for the Golden Boot as the last 16 nears an end.

With five goals he is 4/7 to end the tournament top of the pile. The French forward is two clear of eight players locked on three, so has a clear advantage.

But can he be caught? The chasing pack includes a few players who could go deep in the tournament including Lionel Messi, Richarlison and England pair of Marcus Rashford and Bukayo Saka. The Betfair Sportsbook is paying two places on each-way Golden Boot bets at one third the odds, so a bet on an outsider could still reward.

While Mbappe's France are slight favourites to beat England in Saturday's quarter-final, it is a close betting heat. A French defeat without an Mbappe goal would leave short odds backers of the Paris St Germain hitman sweating.

Brazil are the tournament favourites and 7/1 second favourite Richarlison could be one to watch. The Spurs hitman scored another delightful goal, starting an edge of the box move that ended with a cool finish to take the Selecao into a 3-0 lead over South Korea. He will surely retain his place throughout the World Cup and could play another three games.


More Messi magic

Messi scored his 789th goal on his 1000th appearance against Australia, helping to send Argentina on their way to the quarter finals.

That was Messi's third of the tournament, putting him at the top of the tree with one more match guaranteed.

Will Messi win the Golden Boot & the World Cup? No other player would arguably deserve the double...

Rashford makes his presence count

Having been given a starting berth against Wales, two second half goals put Marcus Rashford alongside Kylian Mbappe and Enner Valencia on three goals in the race for the Golden Boot.

Rashford was as big as 150/1 at the start of the day and is now 14/1. With a performance like that he may well have played his way into Gareth Southgate's starting XI against Senegal.

Elsewhere, Cody Gakpo joined them on three when he bagged the opener for the Netherlands against Qatar. He's now the joint third favourite with Richarlison at 17/2.

Fernandes at the double

With Portugal's main man Cristiano Ronaldo subbed off, Bruno Fernandes stepped up to score Portugal's and his second of the match in their 2-0 win over Uruguay.

Despite landing two, he's still a massive outsider to win the Golden Boot at 34.033/1.

Richarlison's blank earlier against Switzerland has seen the Spurs striker drift out to 8.515/2, while Mbappe remains the favourite.


UPDATE: Mbappe on top

Richarlison is now the 11/2 second favourite to win the Golden Boot following Kylian Mbappe's brace against Denmark on Sunday evening. Mbappe has since been backed into 11/4 to be top marksman in Qatar, having been 13/2 at the start of play.

That makes it 31 goals in 61 caps for the PSG superstar and it's hard to argue with his price given the form he is in.

Olivier Giroud failed to get on the scoresheet and he's drifted from 9/1 to 20/1 in the market.

Following Neymar's injury, though, Richarlison has been backed in as he looks to lead the line once more with Brazil kicking off at 4pm today.

Spanish duo Ferran Torress and Alvaro Morata are 12 and 13/1 respectively with two goals apiece, and Spain looking likely to qualify for the knockout stages.

Having been 10/1 at the start of play, Messi was the game winner for Argentina against Mexico on Saturday. His long range goal opened the scoring and was pivotal in their victory. That was his second goal of the tournament and he's now 7/1 for the FIFA Golden Boot - the third favourite.


Richarlison joint favourite with Mbappe

Will a Tottenham player win the Golden Boot for the second tournament in a row? Richarlison's brace against Serbia has shot him to the top of the betting with the Spurs man continuing his hot form for his country and solidifying his position as Brazil's main striker against some very talented rivals.

He joins Kylian Mbappe, so impressive against Australia in France's opener, at the top of the market. Both players can be backed at 7.06/1. Fellow Frenchman Olivier Giroud is 10.09/1 third favourite.

Ronaldo was off the mark with a penalty against Ghana and can be backed at 12.011/1. Another familiar name - Lionel Messi, and also a penalty scorer - is a tick shorter.

Neymar is out to 17.016/1 after potentially suffering an ankle injury against Serbia.


Giroud goes 8/1 having been 100/1

Olivier Giroud is the main mover in the Betfair Sportsbook's Golden Boot betting after the first four days of the 2022 World Cup thanks to a brace against Australia.

Once unconsidered and way out in the odds at 100/1, the veteran forward is now the second favourite at 9.08/1. With Karim Benzema ruled out, he looks a definite starter for a team fancied to go deep in the tournament.

So who is ahead of the former Arsenal and Chelsea striker? Another Frenchman in the form of the insanely talented Kylian Mbappé.

Mbappé the Golden Boot favourite

The Paris St Germain hitman was also off the mark against Australia and although he only found the back of the net once, he lit up the game and looks in the mood to make a major impression on another big tournament.

The French pair can be backed at 7.06/1 and 9.08/1.

Next up is Neymar, who kicks off his tournament against Serbia on Thursday and Lionel Messi, a scorer against Saudi Arabia on Tuesday.

England players in the Golden Boot betting...

Bukayo Saka currently leads the goalscorer standings with Giroud and is 15.014/1 to end the tournament top of the pile.

Harry Kane was more creator than finisher against Iran, and suffered an ankle injury in the opener. We do not know how serious that is, but odds of 17.016/1 suggest he may struggle to repeat his feat of 2018.

What about the other big names?

Ronaldo is a familiar name in these markets and is also a 17.016/1 shout. The Portuguese veteran starts his campaign on Thursday with Portugal taking on Ghana.

Ferran Torres is another market mover following his two goals in Spain's 7-0 demolition of Costa Rica earlier this evening. Pre-tournament, the Barcelona forward was 34.033/1 with the Betfair Sporsbook. Following his brace, he's now into 15.014/1.

Lionel Messi opened the scoring for Argentina in their shock defeat to Saudi Arabia on Tuesday and he's 11.010/1 having been 14.013/1 prior to the tournament kicking off.

Brazil kick off their campaign against Serbia on Thursday and they have a number of players prominent in the market. Neymar is the third favourite at 10.09/1 while Richarlison is next best at 23.022/1. Vinicius Junior is priced up at 26.025/1 and Arsenal star Gabriel Jesus is 34.033/1.

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.