Bet of the Day

Verona v Fiorentina: Follow the numbers in Serie A

  • Andy Schooler
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 1:30 min read
Rolando Mandragora, Fiorentina
Rolando Mandragora: Has had 2+ shots in five of his last six starts

Having landed winners at 3/1, 5/1 and 13/1 last week, our football props column has a 3/1 pick for Monday's action in the Italian Serie A...

  • Hien 2+ fouls in 7 of his last 8 games

  • Mandragora 2+ shots in 5 of his last 6 starts

  • Bet Builder double pays north of 3/1


Monday night's early kick-off in Serie A features two teams who sit in prominent positions when it comes the key props data tables.

In terms of fouls committed per game, Verona lead the way in Italy's top flight this season, while Fiorentina are the fourth most-fouled side.

It therefore makes sense to look for a home player to commit fouls and the value looks to lie with centre-back Isak Hien.

He's Verona's top fouler this season by some distance and 8/11 quotes about him committing at least two more in this match looks too big.

The Swede has landed the 2+ fouls bet in seven of his eight games since the World Cup. In five of those he's managed at least three fouls.

When it comes to shots, you may be surprised that Fiorentina, who sit just 15th in Serie A, are actually second in the shots-taken table.

Taking this on board, Rolando Mandragora looks the man to focus on here.

He's managed 2+ shots in five of his last six starts and while he's not a certain starter here, he has been in the XI for Fiorentina's last three games.

Overall, he's landed this bet in 11 of 19 starts in 2022/23 and it's worth noting he's played in a more advanced midfield position of late, down the left-hand side, while he was used as a defensive holder at times earlier in the campaign.

It's a bit surprising therefore to see him at 5/4 to repeat the trick against opponents who are in the top five for shots conceded.

Put the two bets together in a Bet Builder and you get a price just over 3/1 which looks a solid-enough way to start the week and, hopefully, build on last week's success.

Back Hien 2+ fouls & Mandragora 2+ shots @

4.05

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Column P/L 2022/23

Staked: 227pts
Returned: 271.58pts
P/L: +44.58pts

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Andy Schooler avatar

Andy Schooler

Andy Schooler has been writing about sport for more than 20 years.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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