- Eight of ten Ligue 1 games featuring Lille have contained three goals or more
- BTTS has landed in eight of Strasbourg's ten top-flight games
Friday 14 October, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 2
Silkeborg did all the heavy lifting for us last night, as their 5-0 win at FCSB in the UEFA Europa Conference League gave us an Over 2.5 Goals winner with room to spare. We'll head to France now, because Strasbourg are up against Lille is Ligue 1, and goals should be on the agenda.
To say 2021 champions Lille lack consistency is something of an understatement. Their last eight league games have yielded the following results: loss, win, loss, win, loss, win, loss, win. The one thing you could generally rely on in that sequence was the presence of goals. An Over 2.5 Goals bet landed in seven of those eight outings, with an Over 3.5 Goals bet successful in three of them. Indeed, eight of the ten L1 matches involving Les Dogues have featured three goals or more, and both teams have netted in nine of them.
Strasbourg won at Angers last time out to ease the pressure on coach Julien Stephan, with talented attackers Kevin Gameiro and Habibou Diallo both on the scoresheet. That was the Alsatian club's first league win of a frustrating campaign. Again, you can usually rely on goals with Strasbourg - both teams have scored in eight of their ten league matches, and Over 2.5 Goals has landed in four, including the last three.
I'm baffled by the fact Over 2.5 Goals is odds-against here at 2.0421/20, so we should take advantage. If you want to be more conservative and go for BTTS, that's priced at 1.784/5.