Gremio v America Mineiro: 11/2 winner on the cards?

• Germio 3+ cards in 7 of 10 league games

• Oft-booked Avelar up against highly-fouled opponent

• Bet Builder double pays just over 11/2

Gremio v America Mineiro
Thursday 22 June, 23:00
Live on Fanatiz

We're staying in Brazil on Thursday for a cards-based play in Serie A.

Both of these sides sit in the bottom half of the fair-play table, while there's also a decent referee appointment.

Leg 1: Gremio over 2.5 cards

Edina Alves Batista has shown 26 yellows and one red in five games thus far, while for those looking for greater statistical consistency, there was an average of five cards per game from her last season.

Only three sides have seen more cards in the campaign so far than Gremio, who have had at least three cards in seven of their 10 games so far.

At odds-against, over 2.5 cards for the hosts looks a worthwhile play.

Leg 2: Danilo Avelar to be shown a card

Our double is completed by America's Danilo Avelar for a card.

The visiting left-back has been carded in four of 11 starts in all competitions this season and, crucially for this bet, looks likely to go up against one of the division's most-fouled players here.

Germio's Bitelo has been fouled three times per game on average and so it's not hard to see Avelar coming to the referee's attention.

With the visitors currently in the relegation zone, they should be scrapping hard here and while Gremio are towards the top end of the table, they will have hope with the hosts having looked shaky defensively - they've conceded 15 goals in 10 games, not to mention more shots than any other team.

Sadly, there are no shots markets at time of writing - it may well be worth a look closer to kick-off.

In the meantime, we'll stick with our cards double which pays just over 11/2.

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